Advocating death with dignity – for the human race

Would the world be better off without us? An Oregon teacher thinks so. In fact, allowing mankind to go extinct, he says, would be the greenest thing we could do.


You thought old Mossback was an anti-density grump, but I'm not in the same league as Oregon's Les Knight, head of the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement. Maybe you've heard of the guy before, but I just read about him in Alan Weisman's fascinating book The World Without Us, an extended examination of what the world would be like if all people vanished tomorrow. It's a great thought experiment, but for some people, that world would be a dream come true, even if they weren't around to see it.

Weisman's exploration isn't really about the future in any meaningful sense, partly because the premise of a Rapture-like disappearance of the human race is highly unlikely, and partly because the time frames for imagining what would happen are so long – Weisman spends much of his time looking across centuries and millennia, in fact all the way to the end of the planet in 4 billion or 5 billion years, when the sun goes red and burns us to a crisp.

It's really a book about today, because it looks at our lasting impact on the Earth. It turns out the long-lasting traces we will leave are largely chemical: an altered atmosphere, radioactive substances with half-lives in the millions of years, plastics, dioxins, and PCBs throughout the food chain.

The collapse of our species' physical presence would be somewhat apocalyptic in places: More than 400 nuclear power plants would eventually melt down, Manhattan would collapse into flooded subway tunnels, chemical and gas plants would release terrible fumes into the atmosphere, dams would breach. But despite those nightmares, the planet would begin to heal rapidly from our depredations: Neighborhoods would quickly be consumed by forest (if you check out the book's Web site, be sure to watch the animation about what will happen to your abandoned house over the next 500 years), species would recover, the climate would, perhaps slowly, begin to regain some equilibrium.

Knight, a Portland schoolteacher, sees voluntary human extinction as the way to save the biosphere. Unborn children have a much bigger positive impact on the environment than the most avid of recyclers. The best gift we could give the planet, he says, would be to phase ourselves out. Killing people doesn't work, he argues, because, first, it's immoral and, second, it's counterproductive (or counter-reproductive?) because wars tend to increase the birth rate. An epidemic that killed 99.99 percent of the population would leave enough people – around 650,000 – to repopulate the planet at its current level over the next 50,000 years.

The humane, dignified, and moral way to bow out (and it's virtually certain that we will eventually become extinct, anyway) would be if mankind turned into one of those Shaker religious sects that practiced strict celibacy and stopped accepting converts. Eventually, the Shakers passed gracefully out of existence and left behind lots of very cool furniture. Allowing for increased life spans, if everyone stopped having babies today, people would be gone in 150 years or sooner, Knight projects. Knight lays out his views in this 2006 interview in Radar. You can decide for yourself whether he's nuts or not.

In the book's final chapter, Weisman plots a middle course and looks at what would happen if we adjusted the birthrate downward. No extinction, but a rollback to a more sustainable population level, one that could live within its means.

The Earth's population is around 6.5 billion people, headed for 9 billion by mid-century. He reports that one set of calculations, using the projected life expectancy for 2050 and cutting the 2004 birthrate of 2.6 births per female to one birth per, shows that the world's population could be reduced by a billion people in about 50 years. By 2075 it would be down to 3.43 billion. By 2100, we'd be at 1.6 billion, or 19th century levels. The result would be a kind of low-density Eden. Writes Weisman:

At such far more manageable numbers ... we would have the benefit of all our progress plus the wisdom to keep our presence under control. That wisdom would come partly from losses and extinctions too late to reverse, but also from the growing joy of watching the world daily become more wonderful. The evidence wouldn't hide in statistics. It would be outside every human's window, where refreshed air would fill each season with more birdsong.

Lovely. But would it last? Even without humanity poisoning the planet and using up the atmosphere and resources at gluttonous levels, we're likely to get smacked by an asteroid or some such. We're about due. Two hundred and fifty millions years ago, the Permian Extinction saw 95 percent of all living things wiped out. That led to an era when clams – yes, a monarchy of mollusks – ruled the planet, but eventually it led to fuzzy little rodents and eventually to us.

Who knew we'd grow up to be the first species to menace the planet itself? And who says that even if we become extinct that there won't be some other new kid on the block in another few hundred million years, ready to screw things up all over again? I'm sure Gaia takes a worldly view of such things.


About the Author

Knute Berger is Mossback, Crosscut's chief Northwest native. He also writes the monthly Grey Matters column for Seattle magazine and is a weekly Friday guest on Weekday on KUOW-FM (94.9). His newest book is Pugetopolis: A Mossback Takes On Growth Addicts, Weather Wimps, and the Myth of Seattle Nice, published by Sasquatch Books. In 2011, he was named Writer-in-Residence at the Space Needle and is author of Space Needle, The Spirit of Seattle (2012), the official 50th anniversary history of the tower. You can e-mail him at mossback@crosscut.com.

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Comments:

Posted Tue, Jan 15, 8:47 a.m. Inappropriate

You first!: In the race for voluntary extinction, Les Knight and Alan Weisman can feel free to go on ahead without me. I'll be along in a couple, three decades after I've watched my five-kids add to my growing passle of grandchildren!

These declining birth rate scenarios have been around forever and examinations of them are routinely seen on the Sci-Fi channel starring any number of Hollywood B-list actors. Why, even a Tom Clancy novel - Rainbow Six - featured one, of course espoused by the villains.

The Chinese Communists have had one in place for a long time with violations punishable by...whatever ChiComs do to punish people, which can be ghastly.

Curious, however...Knight and Weisman have any children of their own? If they're true to their respective credos, one would hope that they'd each have gotten the snip, snip long ago. If they have, then it's a win-win-win for everone: a decrease in the surplus population (remember how Scrooge said it in A Christmas Carol?), the eventual extinction of their respective lines, and, ultimately, more room for my progeny. Cool!

I'll bet these guys are fun at parties!

The Piper

Posted Tue, Jan 15, 9:23 a.m. Inappropriate

Stirring video: Thanks for the link to the animation of the house decaying over 500 years. Clearly it wasn't based on houses in the Pacific Northwest, which would be lucky to last 50 years if left on their own.

Reminds me - time to clean the gutters.
Sean

Posted Tue, Jan 15, 9:31 a.m. Inappropriate

before we leave...: we might give a different monkey or animal, perhaps a donkey , a chance at the succession! something with only the most minimal of death instincts.

mikerol

Posted Tue, Jan 15, 12:52 p.m. Inappropriate

Brave New World: A planet populated totally by spoiled-brat only children. What's Daddy going to buy his little girl for her 16th birthday when all the Lexuses are gone?

dbreneman

Posted Tue, Jan 15, 1:12 p.m. Inappropriate

A reasonable compromise: Agreed, we have found the enemy and he is us! But we also have found many marvels who have led us to a much better life. So the obvious answer is to decide on a number, a limit, and to achieve it. Say 4 billion. In a rational world the solution is easy. Those who have met their limit will be "fixed", just as we do with our dogs, cats etc. Why not use the brains we have? Why carry on like rabbits? Even the Republicans believe in and practice birth control - tho they cater to the obsolete church teachings about the sanctity of human life etc. And especially that inside the womb!

Jeffdo

Posted Tue, Jan 15, 4:52 p.m. Inappropriate

The fortunate few will pay ultimately: A population boom is not the problem. It would be if everyone on the Earth came to use as much resources as the average American; this of course is impossible. In the long run, saving Keynes' mantra of "we're all dead", consumption will equilibrate for humans to some amount that is less than what the first world now enjoys, but considerably more per capita than what the 4 billion people in the third world now consume. Resources will be reallocated, not necessarily disappear.

George

Posted Wed, Jan 16, 8:41 a.m. Inappropriate

RE: You first!: We can't go extinct without you, The Piper: this race to the finish includes all of humanity. No need to rush, we'll all find our ways to dusty death soon enough. The key is to stop creating more of us and let Nature take its course.

We might avoid the reproductive fascism you described by making responsible choices.

To satisfy your curiosity: Alan Weisman and his wife had one child who died, and I co-parented a step-child for 12 years. Parents are in the Voluntary Human Extinction Movement -- some with biological offspring. In fact, you're welcome to join us with your five heirs. What counts is that we stop making more, and we don't pressure existing children to repeat our repititions.

I'm scheduled for KIRO's Dave Ross show Monday morning the 21st on if you'd like to know more.

>I'll bet these guys are fun at parties!<

I'm the one with a lampshade on my head passing out condoms.

Les

Posted Wed, Jan 16, 3:51 p.m. Inappropriate

RE: You first!: Les...

Since I believe that the earth was made for people to use and enjoy - responsibly, of course - yours isn't a credo to which I'll be subscribing anytime soon. Frankly, it's quite depressing and borderline creepy to see humanity as a net negative to the planet with the only solution its sooner rather than later extinction. What makes the world interesting are the people on it. If a tree falls in the forest and no one is there to hear it...what's the point?

As for me and mine, I've taken the admonition, "Be fruitful and multiply" seriously. What my children do is up to them, but so far, so good. FYI...I too lost a child to death, a fact that I don't see as a plus for the planet, but a loss to my family.

My sense is that the earth is infinitely more resilient than you give it credit. People are too since they have an amazing capacity to improvise, adapt, and overcome, and it's in these God-given abilities that I find encouragement and hope for the future, not in self-imposed destruction.

I see the future of humanity as a glass half-full, and I remain generally optimistic about the human condition. There will be bumps along the way, but I believe we were put here for a purpose, and we will continue to be here until that purpose is accomplished, not one second sooner or one second later.

Yours seems to be a bleak view with an almost Greek tragedy foreboding about it. Thank you, no, I'll pass.

The Piper

Posted Fri, Jan 18, 6:08 a.m. Inappropriate

RE: You first!: My cat also seems to believe that the earth was made for her kind to use and enjoy. I guess it's a matter of perspective.

I agree, it can be depressing and borderline creepy to realize that humanity has a net negative effect on the planet. However, we can be of great help to other humans, and can help diminish humanity's impact on Earth's biosphere, and that's a lot.

You asked, "If a tree falls in the forest and no one is there to hear it...what's the point?" Most of those trees wouldn't falling if we weren't there to hear it.

Humanity has taken the admonition, "Be fruitful and multiply" seriously, and now that we've done that it's time to move on.

I'm sorry to hear that you've lost a child. I don't even want to imagine what that would be like. I too don't see that as a plus for the planet. Also, tens of thousands of children dying of preventable causes each day is a tragedy we all should be concerned about. Reproductive freedom would reduce this number considerably.

I too am optimistic that we will fulfill our purpose, and when that's accomplished we will no longer be here. On our way out, conditions for all life could gradually improve.

May we live long and die out,
Les

Posted Fri, May 16, 8:56 a.m. Inappropriate

Didn't we see this movie already?: "Children of Man" revisited.

Posted Sat, Jun 21, 7:08 a.m. Inappropriate

RE: You first!: I Suppose we are leaving this planet if we like it or not so the concern is ours alone and one not shared by the fire in which we all burn. When this planet has concluded its existence in the universe we will have been around for such a small fraction of time as to not even have mattered. Or perhaps not anymore than the countless life forms dying under your feet walking down the street every day.

Tiberime

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