That was the week that sucked
Seven days that liberals should never forget, much less repeat.
It's been a bad week to be a liberal. The body count is high, the prospects grim, the defeats humiliating. Let's look at the damage.
On Tuesday, a Republican, Scott Brown, who once modeled nude in Cosmo wins Ted Kennedy's U.S. Senate seat, de-fanging the liberal lion's legacy and threatening to turn 2010 into a Democratic Bull Run. How bad was it? Brown is already "denying" that he's measuring for new drapes at the White House and Massachusetts Dems are kicking themselves that they didn't run Michael Dukakis, that's how bad. All states, some Dem's now admitted, are "in play."
On Wednesday, the Democrats having lost their tenuous (see Lieberman) 60-seat majority, the future of meaningful healthcare reform was in critical condition. Not only was Ted Kennedy's deathbed legacy derailed at its penultimate moment, but the most liberal state in the country, a pioneer of health reform much like what is proposed in the national bill, gave a no-confidence vote to both reform and the party that passed it. Worse, it proved Sarah Palin right: there is such a thing as a death panel and it's the voters of Massachusetts! The Democrats' signature work of the last six months is resting uncomfortably in a hospice.
The avalanche continued on Thursday. Hoping not to be noticed, the onetime lefty populist heir (or is it hair?) to being Bobby Kennedy, John Edwards, slipped in the news that yes, he in fact did father an child by his mistress during the presidential campaign, behind the back of his wife who is suffering from incurable cancer. This revelation confirms that the best newspaper in America (and the only one not having an identity crisis) is the National Enquirer. But you probably knew that.
President Obama is now echoing the populism Edwards once preached (the "two Americas" now are Main Street and Wall Street), but the reprehensible behavior of a man who, as John Kerry's running mate, was almost a heart beat away from the presidency, proves that he has no heart, having knowingly and repeatedly lied about being the child's father. This isn't stain-on-the-dress stupid, it's abusing-your-own-baby sadism. Who else wants their 2004 vote back?
Weep, but the week got worse.
The great hope of liberal talk radio, the answer to Rush and Glenn, Air America, went belly up, off the air and filed for bankruptcy as surely as if it had been blown up by a successful underwear bomber. The right still rules the radio airwaves, even if everyone (including Rush) looks a bit diminished these days. Liberals still have their NPR, but conservatives won the hot-talk wars.
The Supreme Court saved the best for last, ruling that corporations and unions can spend unlimited amounts of money in political campaigns. The court, in a 5-4 decision dominated won by "conservative" justices, gutted bipartisan campaign finance reform (McCain-Feingold). They overturned court precedents and 100 years of lawmaking with a sweeping decision that rules that money is speech, and Americans can spend as much of it as they want. Obama said that it is "a green light to a new stampede of special interest money in our politics," and lobbyists are smiling.
Okay, are there any signs of hope amid the ruins of January?
A few.
One is that the Democrats might be re-engergized and forewarned before a potentially disastrous fall. Much as Republicans would like to see a repeat of 1994, they've lost the element of surprise. Believe me, I was with Republicans on election night in '94, and even they didn't see it coming. The Democrats have months to get organized and get it right and keep the damage to a minimum. In addition, perhaps they can suck it up and realize they still control both houses of Congress and have a 59-41 majority in the Senate. The early signs of panic, however, are concerning.
Another silver lining: the conservative Supreme Court majority has now demonstrated the "big lie" that got them appointed, namely that they were not "activist judges" making law, but cautious, narrow interpreters of the Constitution. The liberal activists can now fight fire with fire guiltlessly. One more vacancy and liberal appointment, and the court ideological pendulum could swing. One target for new court activists: corporate personhood, a ridiculous notion based on Gilded Age court decisions. The newest justice, Sonia Sotomayor, has already expressed skepticism about the concept and hinted at a willingness to revisit. If the right can be active, so could a new, more liberal majority. Conservatives can no longer keep up the pretense of judicial conservatism.
The loss of Air America is more a blow to the ego than the body politic. Obama's adoption of populist rhetoric seems as natural to him as Rush Limbaugh sporting a Nehru jacket, but at least the president is on the right track policy-wise, reclaiming a sense of confidence and justice in the financial system on behalf of average Americans. But the justice people really want is jobs.
As to healthcare, it's as if the Democrats are looking for an excuse to bring down the love-child their own ugly sausage-making hath wrought — abandoning their child like John Edwards in ass-cover mode. It's not reform enough to please diehard liberals, it's bold enough to anger Republicans, and annoying enough with mandates, taxes, and little immediate relief to average folks to make most people skeptical. The usual bromide, that if everyone's unhappy, the legislation must be good, might not be true. It might just be lousy in this incarnation, a legislative platypus. If the Democrats themselves have doubts about passing it now, maybe it's better abandoned. Could it be that Scott Brown just did them a huge favor, saving the Democrats from themselves?
Lastly, the Democrats are clearly outclassed by the Republicans in terms of maximizing their advantages. The GOP is great at being insurgents who can rewrite the rules, tie the conventional warriors in knots, and fight as guerillas, albeit ones with massive corporate funding and loyalty the Taliban would envy. Democrats need to fight with an anti-insurgency strategy and be more effective at winning American hearts and minds, especially of independents and people that actually vote every election. Bill Clinton governed better with Congress in the hands of Republicans. Could it be that Obama will too?
A few more weeks like this and we'll find out.
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Comments:
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 2:18 p.m. Inappropriate
Heartily agree that the election was a wakeup, but does anyone doubt that had Ted been 20 years younger and healthy, his liberal ass would have won in a walk? Poor candidate, poor campaign, plus a media that made the same assumptions that she did and didn't bother covering Brown until the end also had an effect. But message is liberals have to work for support, and better now than November. And Democrats with spines will do better than Ted Van Dyk wanna be republicans.
Also notable is that Edwards is finished in a way that 2 conservative Senators and 1 governor are not. Funny how that works. And Edwards is hardly the first notable to disown his own bastard, not that that makes the act a whit better. I'd still vote for him against McCain on policy grounds, whose treatment of his first wife is usually overlooked in this kind of storytelling.
Doesn't Scalia hunt with Chaney? Best not go there, although it is tempting.
The difference between people and corporations is that people can be turned to Soylent Green. I don't suppose that error will ever be rectified now.
Good post, Mossback.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 2:53 p.m. Inappropriate
Excellent piece generally, but how the writer thinks Obama and the Dems can abandon health reform now without severely demoralizing their base, electrifying the Republicans, and setting the stage for a 1994-style election rout is beyond me. Paul Krugman and E.J. Dionne had it right today, as did these health policy experts:
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/01/22/opinion/22krugman.html
http://www.chron.com/disp/story.mpl/editorial/outlook/6827231.html
http://www.tnr.com/blog/the-treatment/47-health-policy-experts-including-me-say-sign-the-senate-bill
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 3:18 p.m. Inappropriate
When Democrats have a bad day, I have a good day.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 3:31 p.m. Inappropriate
@Harris Meyer- you are correct that no health care bill is bad news for the dems. But the Senate bill's poison pill of a mandate for working people to buy crappy insurance that won't pay for most of their health care costs is also very bad news for them. They've been put into a no-win position- by the the right, the moderates, a shallow-minded media, but most of all their own faint-hearted leadership. "We're better than those guys" is not the most inspirational fighting slogan, but at the moment it's all a year has given us. If the Republicans had those numbers in Congress with McCain or Palin in the White House, their base would have a lot more to crow about.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 4:37 p.m. Inappropriate
Good piece, Knute, but "100 years of lawmaking"? the only thing overturned was a decision of about ten years ago. I note that the ACLU argued in favor of the appellant.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 5:13 p.m. Inappropriate
A lot of this talk proceeds about how bad a day the Democrats are having. But the people really having a bad day are the citizens.
Tomorrow will be a day much like any other for the Democrats, as will the day after. The rest of us have to deal with rising health care costs (or no insurance at all), paying half our income tax for war (if we're lucky enough to pay taxes on income), and living in a country with no effective form of governance in a time of AGW and peak oil.
No, not a very good week- but it's not the Democrats I'm worried about.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 5:16 p.m. Inappropriate
Kieth: I was referring to attempts to restrain corporate influence in federal elections that date back to the Tillman Act of 1907.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 5:54 p.m. Inappropriate
Thank you, Knute. Incidentally, I think your article was funny as well as to the point. You are saying that as of 1907 it was not legal for corporations to contribute money to political causes. If that is true I stand corrected.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 7:36 p.m. Inappropriate
I've been boiling over with rage all week. That the Democratic Congress would fumble their main priority and let themselves be intimidated by a bunch of insane protesters, that voters in Massachusetts have already forgot that the GOP has caused virtually every disaster since 1980, that the Supreme Court would make such an outrageous and cynical ruling, that I can't find a date, and so on.
Once the emotions quiet down, it will be time to take a serious look at what is going on and see what it all means. My survey of the American landscape suggests that no more than about 20% of Americans are partisan Democrats and no more than about 20% are partisan Republicans. Maybe about 5 to 10% fall into various fringe groups. That leaves a majority, with attitudes ranging from liberal to conservative, with libertarian, socialist, or green bents, whose emphasis is on problem solving. They will support, or at least accept, leadership the opposite of their preferred party if there is the perception that said leadership is solving problems. The fact that Democrats had better accept soon is that there is little sense of the federal government solving problems.
There is a similar problem on the foreign policy front, which hasn't gotten as much attention lately. I can tell that the war in Afghanistan is not what President Obama wants to be working on. I think that he sees it as an obstacle to what he really wants to do in the foreign policy arena, which is to work on nuclear nonproliferation and climate change. As much as I support these efforts, the Afghanistan war is his most pressing concern, and not giving that a credible response diminishes his ability to do anything else.
The other issue is trust, and for this I would refer to David Brooks' piece. My parents are moderate Republicans, who support (or at least have so far) President Obama and his health care initiative. But they were deeply offended by the wheeling and dealing that had to be done to get Ben Nelson on board, and now it seems to have been for naught.
If there are any Democratic party leaders reading, my plea is to save us by speaking out at your party meetings about what I have written. Party loyalty does not mean rigid ideology or allegience to the President; it means that we do what it takes to govern successfully, which at the present time means getting the middle back.
Posted Fri, Jan 22, 9:27 p.m. Inappropriate
What I find bizarre puzzlement is some weird combination of, as you wrote, a "59-41 majority in the Senate" and "the early signs of panic..."
This moaning and whining and kvetching makes me sick about Democrats.
Democrats need to "screw your courage to the sticking-place."
Posted Sat, Jan 23, 1:40 a.m. Inappropriate
Perhaps it's time for us to admit that none of our supposed betters are actually better. The argument could be made that because they feel as they are better, they therefore are more egregious in their offences, thus making the John Edwards of this world actually worse, and the same with Bill Clinton, and Mark Sanford. Just look at this Rielle Hunter affair – Edwards goes way out of bounds, and then gets Andrew Young, a key associate, to take the fall for him. Young is going to get more than a couple payday loans for his upcoming book, The Politician, and Edwards hopefully is going to get publicly shamed for his utterly inexcusable behavior.
Posted Sat, Jan 23, 12:19 p.m. Inappropriate
The years 2008-2010 might be looked on as nothing more than nostalgia for a liberal past that never existed. Plus 65 age hippies, took one last charge at "The Establishment" to try and "Bring Down The System". What they found is that most people are still trying to become part of the Establishment and what people really want is for politicians to put it all back together again so they can get a job (with a good health care plan), a 3 bedroom house in a low density exurb and a school where the kids don't do so many drugs. What they have right now are a lot of ideologues who completely ignore unemployment, and focused on making life as miserable as possible for the rising middle classes...the one group that can remake the 21st century economy. Instead they threw their lot in with every unfulfilled retrograde salve from the past -- from global warming, to battery cars, to universal health care -- ideas that were long ago defrocked.
What we're left with is a petty government that looks like its mostly made up by the people who will send you emails from Nigerian bankers...and the puny site of a President who people really don't know, who goes to a burger joint and says "no secret sauce please, I'm watching my weight".
Yes, old Hippies, you had your Swan Song and your Last Dance. It was fun to watch, but we have a century to build. Take your ill gotten gains and get off stage. For good!
Posted Sat, Jan 23, 2:54 p.m. Inappropriate
re jabailo--
I agree. long live government
of the corporations
by the corporations
for the corporations.
If people "Looked back" to the past, perhaps its because looking forward to the corporate serf state that looms in the future seems a pretty stark place.
After all, presidents and senators only make a small percentage of what corporate CEO's make--why should they be running the country?
Posted Sat, Jan 23, 5:56 p.m. Inappropriate
Voters dumped the Republican Congress because they were sick of the way it was throwing money around with wild abandon. They got a Democratic Congress that's throwing money around with wilder abandon. They elected Obama because they saw in him a man who would bring people together and lead from the pragmatic center. They got a man as partisan and blindly ideological as George Bush, just in the opposite direction. It looks like the voters are ready to give Republicans another shot in 2010. If the Republicans don't know why they're getting another chance they will have wasted their time in the wilderness. Whether it's "Homeland" security or government takeover of healthcare, most Americans do not want an all-powerful government taking more of their hard earned money and giving them only more restrictions and regulations in return. Does any politician stand for the freedom of the individual anymore?
Posted Sat, Jan 23, 8:32 p.m. Inappropriate
Meaningful health insurance reform is gone until there's a crisis that warrants taking what will then necessitate a drastic action. The Ds can look in the mirror as to why it did not happen. They had a tenuous 60 votes, yet the administration delegated the bill to Senator Reid and Representative Pelosi, neither of whom was elected nationwide. As a result, the insurance industry helped write the bill. The Ds had to cave in to at least Senators Lieberman and Nelson to essentially buy their votes. They didn't plan for the "worst case" possibility, their losing their 60 votes due to this election, an illness amongst one of their own, etc. Now, they will be fortunate to get a watered-down bill. A few months ago, after the President's first deadline was missed, I advocated the Congress pass the 80% that most of them agreed to, things like pre-existing conditions, then work on the last, tough 20% separately. Instead, they chose to bull ahead, and they now face the same fate as the over-confident Republicans did in 2006 when they controlled both ends of Pennsylvania Avenue, big electoral losses and incremental change for the next 2 years and a challenging 2012 election when it could've been a cakewalk on both. But, that would have necessitated a more - dare I write it - conservative approach to health insurance reform.
Posted Mon, Jan 25, 10:47 a.m. Inappropriate
I never listened to a lot of "Air America," but it seemed like a well-meaning liberal attempt to do what Rush and Beck do better. But now we've got John Stewart and Steven Colbert ruling the airwaves, doing what Air America and the humorless, lying right wing could never do: combining truth and satire to inform, entertain and expose hypocrisy. The Right is not very funny precisely because it is so mean-spirited. I dare any one of those guys to go one-on-one against Colbert. He'd shred them.
Posted Mon, Jan 25, 4:44 p.m. Inappropriate
Amen to — dbreneman who said "Doesn't any politician stand for the freedom of the individual anymore?" I totally agree with that sentiment.
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