No Tea-Party frenzy: Why Australia escaped U.S-made downturn
The old saying: "When American sneezes, we catch a cold." Now, Australians are thankful that they escaped the Great Recession's virus through wiser banking and a more robust public sector.
Commander Keane/via Wikimedia Commons
In Australia, as in Canada, they have a wry bit of proverbial wisdom that goes, "When the U.S. sneezes we catch a cold." In other words, the economies are so linked and the US economy so dominant, that a sneeze in the bigger one will set off a real sickness in the smaller one.
But a strange thing has happened, while the U.S. has experienced a kind of devastating viral pneumonia, a.k.a. the Great Recession, Australia (where I am at present) has actually fared much better than the U.S. The economy here remains strong, unemployment is around 5 percent, and the banking and financial industry is healthy.
Why the difference? Why did our way-more-than-a-sneeze downturn not give Australia (and Canada) comparable or worse fits?
As I have talked with Australians, there seem to be two reasons given for Australia's relative economic health and ability to resist the virus of our Great Recession. One has to do with more conservative banking and financial practices. The other with a more robust public sector.
With some few and limited exceptions, Australia's banking and financial industry did not venture into the world of sub-prime mortgage loans and packaged derivatives. They stayed the more traditional route. A full 10 percent of the purchase price was required as the down payment on a home mortgage.
Moreover, the banks continued to examine real income figures for mortgage applicants, assuring themselves and their clients that their income would allow them to make their mortgage payments. Not rocket science, just old-fashioned banking (the kind that Kerry Killinger and WAMU decided was passé.) That was one factor in the capacity of Australia to resist our infection.
While the U.S., beginning, in the 1980s went ga-ga for banking deregulation, and the idea that "the government is the problem," Australia didn't. The idea of govenment oversight of the financial services industry still seemed like a good thing here, as in Canada, where few if any banks have failed.
The other factor is that Australia (and Canada) didn't drink the Kool-Aid of anti-government, slash-the-public-sector privatization as always to be preferred in the way that the U.S. has. Again, beginning in the 1980s and carrying on for 30 years now, this has been the received wisdom for Republicans and Democrats in the United States alike. For some reason, the idea that there is a proper sector for public funding and a role for government seemed to persist here in Australia.
Kieran Davies, chief economist, Royal Bank of Scotland discusses the performance of the domestic economy and the short-term outlook.
So, health care has long been a government responsibility. Everyone I've talked to seems to regard that as normal and effective. It relieves employers of a huge burden. Moreover, public funding for higher education is the norm, resulting in an affordable university system. A third sign of a balance of the public and private sectors is a robust public transportation system. Trains, boats and buses are all effective parts of the overall public transportation system. Again, all of this seems to be accepted and regarded as normal. In Brisbane, the "City Cat" ferries ply the Brisbane River, taking students to school and commuters to work, as well as providing a nice experience for tourists. Seattle could learn something from this small fleet of water bound buses. Imagine such a fleet running from Renton to Alki?
One doesn't hear, in Australia, the frenzied calls for "less government." I'm sure people here aren't anymore thrilled than we are to pay their taxes, but they do seem to see that taxes fund valuable services that make society work better for everyone. A fourth element of a funded-public sector we've noticed is that there are no admission charges for national parks, of which there are many, nor are there admission charges for museums and like. This means that the ordinary person is probably much more likely to avail herself or himself of such cultural amenities and of a shared civic sector, which is seen as a shared birthright of all citizens and not something that only those with money get to enjoy. In the U.S., almost all such civil sector institutions have become subject to user or admission fees.
True, the federal budget is a matter of concern and debate here, as elsewhere. But the debate is a civil and seeming reasonable one. No apoplectic Tea-Parteriers that I've seen. The federal budget, currently facing a deficit, is projected to be running at a surplus in three years, and unemployment is expected to fall to 4 percent.
While traveling, I've read the recent book-length essay of historian Tony Judt, Ill Fares the Land. Judt makes the case that it has been the wholesale embrace in the U.S. and the United Kingdom of the rhetoric and reality of privatization and deregulation that accounts for our present economic meltdown and cultural decline. It's a matter of balance, says Judt. The market, it turns out, isn't all-wise, all-knowing, all-competent (note the way market enthusiasts have imputed divine qualities to the market). Left to itself the market, like most anything else that isn't checked and balanced, will consume even its own children.
Can the U.S. learn from Australia and Canada the virtues of such balance between the public and private sectors? Maybe it is true, after all, that there are some things that can't be done best, or even well, as for-profit ventures. Perhaps we are all better off when there is a civil society that we share, regardless of our income level, and in which we are together emotionally and philosophically invested? Such seems to be a lesson from Down Under.
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Comments:
Posted Sat, May 15, 10:50 a.m. Inappropriate
Australia has greatly benefited from Chinese economic growth--particularly, extractive elements of the economy which feed China's appetite for raw materials. The fact that the good Reverand has consistently advanced a centralized, top down approach to economic affairs makes his conclusions inevitable. The fact that its irrelevant to the future is a forgone conclusion. Chinese property values fell 30% in a month, making this article news that never was.
Posted Sat, May 15, 2:28 p.m. Inappropriate
As the "Fly" points out, mining and similar extractive industries have boosted the economy of Oz. Here's a link:
http://www.economywatch.com/world_economy/australia/
this explains it. If we could only get a handle on health care costs(which our democrat-led feds failed to do) as well as put common sense environmental regs in place, yes, even off-shore drilling, we might have a chance for competing for a quality of life. However, our gloom and doom outlook as well as our spending (deficit will = 100% of GDP by 2015)will insure that we become a second-class nation in no time.
Posted Mon, May 17, 9 a.m. Inappropriate
"Insure" in the sense that AIG can package the doom and gloom as a credit default swap and someone can make a fortune shorting it.
Posted Mon, May 17, 9:39 a.m. Inappropriate
"If we could only get a handle on health care costs(which our democrat-led feds failed to do) as well as put common sense environmental regs in place, yes, even off-shore drilling, we might have a chance for competing for a quality of life."
Or perhaps we should quit blaming one side or the other and just determine that we can no longer be the world's judge, jury & cop alone in every situation, and the 1/3 or more of the budget that goes to that policing effort could be reduced substantially and and re-purposed to actually give our society the security that comes with adequate health care, education, environmental controls, wise energy use, and so on.
As with most world powers, the US is running into the problems of switching its economy from beneficial societal goods as the driver to oil importation and financial products and services as the prime driver of the economy. Look what this has done for Spain (16th century adventurism for gold and colonies) and then declined and went broke, The 17th century (the Dutch with adventurism and "tulip bulb" speculation)declined and nearly went broke, the British in the 19th century (colonization and financial scheming)same result. It seems to work for a while but always eventually fails. This approach of foreign adventurism and resource extraction and subsequent financial speculation was the undoing of each of these seemingly world dominating countries, and it appears we are next.
Posted Mon, May 17, 9:52 a.m. Inappropriate
Australia has not been 'recession proof' over the last 30 years; Alan Bond and other billionaires had financial woes that spread nationwide in the late 1980's and early 1990's. The population is approx 6% of the US population. The comparison is not appropriate.
Posted Mon, May 17, 10:53 a.m. Inappropriate
The reason that Australia/Canada have largely missed this recession is that they remain primarily natural resource extracting economies. Many natural resources are at or near record highs and both of these countries are now highly tied to exporting to China. Iron ore and coal to China is a huge economic driver for Australia. All the money this is pumping into their economy has also seen a real run-up in housing prices in Australia too. If China hadn't continued growing at 10% through the past year, Australia very likely would have been in the recession too.
Posted Mon, May 17, 1:42 p.m. Inappropriate
Australia didn't drink from the progressive kool-aid about mining being bad. China is funding much of Australia's growth. Look at the rare earth element extraction. Look at the copper and iron ore mining. Look at the shale oil and natural gas extraction. Look at the huge offshore Gorgon Project in NW Australia.
Australians understand that the private sector is driving the economy.
Posted Tue, May 18, 3:59 a.m. Inappropriate
Thank you posters for explaining the natural resource income that I suspected was left out of the story.
I wonder how permits are in Australia? Like Washington or like Texas?
"It is the natural state for government to increase and liberty to decrease", one of my favorite Thomas Jefferson quotes. If the Australians get too comfortable with their public perks, they will slowly becomes slaves to support them.
"God takes care of those who take care of themselves, Government takes care of the rest." another favorite quote.
Posted Thu, May 20, 8:07 p.m. Inappropriate
In contrast to Australia, huge numbers of people in the US are content to let retail banks keep right on screwing them, and won't be content until every last public sector employee has been RIFed, had their salary slashed and/or deprived of their "gold plated health care benefits" and pensions. In addition, we will will soon celebrate the 10 year anniversary of two large, obscenely expensive, unwinnable wars. We are killing the middle class and squandering our wealth. It should come as no surprise that this country is going down the tubes.
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