Devastated D's should ask: What would Reagan do?
Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher knew a lot about leading through principle. (Also, find all our election coverage in 'Election at a Glance' box with this story.)
Ronald Reagan Presidential Library
The hangover from Tuesday's election will take a while to start wearing off, but reality is already setting in for Democrats all over the region. It was a big loss by any measure.
What happened? I'm not sure, but based on what I've seen over the years and in this election those on the left side of the ideological ledger better learn something from this setback.
Success in contemporary American politics is based on having principles, stating them simply and clearly over and over again, recruiting candidates who have an unalloyed belief in those principles, and doing politics in an emotionally intelligent way. That last thing — having an emotional connection —is the one that makes the difference between victory and defeat. The Democrats have lost contact with the angst being experienced by every group in the country.
I spent my formative years in the Reagan presidency, and I'll admit I miss Reagan's grandfatherly certainty. But Reagan didn't start out that way. In fact had someone gone into hibernation in 1964 after Reagan's speech at the 1964 Republican Convention and woken up in 1981, they would be as shocked as we would be if we woke up in 2013 to find Christine O'Donnell as president. He was a cheesy actor turned politician — right-wing politician. But he made no effort to hide his extreme views. It was those views that people rallied around. And that's the point.
I know it hurts to talk about Reagan right now. But all you liberals out there would agree that whether we like it or not, much of our economy bears the stamp of the Reagan era. So here's what the left has to do.
Pick some principles and don’t compromise. Lefties are a peculiar type. Educated in the principles of social science and bathed in the glow of the enlightenment we love facts. Fine. Pick some principles that relate to the outcome you want first, and then put some facts underneath them. Then forget about the facts. You know them and it doesn’t matter whether anyone else does or not. True, we on the left also tend to believe that reasonable people can come to some compromise. And we should when we can, but not on our principles.
State the principles in the simplest form possible and repeat. The tendency of the left is to over-think and panic when there are short term reverses. Think about any of the right-wing phrases we love to hate. Take "big government," for example. How did that phrase become so ubiquitous that even Democrats use it? It stuck because the right repeated it over and over and over, for many years. Was it true? Certainly there was some data to support the claim, but that mattered less than saying it. There is a narrative there, too, which casts government as the enemy and the right wingers as the saviors.
Recruit people who can actually believe in the principles. Indeed we might laugh at the thought of Republican candidates saying that they believe that the Earth is only 6,000 years old. Try laughing now (just think about Jesus riding a dinosaur). They won. I'm not suggesting recruiting idiots, but the left tends to be full of smart, thoughtful people. Smart people have an annoying tendency to cashier their principles when some facts seem to be inconsistent with those principles. The right doesn't do that. Their candidates, for the most part, stick to their guns (literally) and they end up driving the debate because of it.
Don't like the picture I am painting? Well we could always try to educate voters with the facts and persuade them that we're right. Just think about it for a minute; has that worked?
That brings me to a last point: feelings. Yes, people have them and like it or not they often rely on them to make their decisions about which detergent to buy and who to blame for their troubles. Does anyone remember what Franklin Roosevelt actually said in his fireside chats? Probably not. But we do have the image of people clustered around the radio to hear the sonorous voice of the New Deal. And even Generation Y kids know that Roosevelt said, "The only thing we have to fear is fear itself." Last time I checked fear is an emotion, not a quantitative measure of anything.
Reagan told stories that he thought were real but weren't. Clinton felt our pain (and other things, too). But the point is that success in contemporary politics isn't about being smart it's about having principles. I am reminded of Margaret Thatcher who, in the midst of riots, recession, and assassination attempts faced down her opponents with stubbornness and certainty that always enraged her opponents, such as in these lines from a speech to her Conservative Party Conference: "To those waiting with bated breath for that favorite media catch phrase 'the U-turn,' I have only one thing to say: You turn if you want to. The lady's not for turning."
We don't have to give up facts and science in order to climb the greased pole of politics. We can be principled and smart. But we cannot give up principles to win. The lesson successful agenda-driving politicians have taught us is that holding our ground will give people confidence — they will feel confident and trust where we lead them.
We owe it to them to win their confidence by having confidence and certainty in what we believe in, that government has a role in our lives and that it has, can, and will make our lives better — in fact, it’s the only thing that ever has.
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Comments:
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 8:14 a.m. Inappropriate
Reagan's "principles" were well articulated when he and CIA Casey created the world wide Muchahadim to fight the Russians in Afghanistan, who were sucked in by Carter/Brzezinski's destabilization of its government - welcome to the wages of such nefarious principles, ditto for the "contras" in Nicaragua; ditto for de-regulation which eventuates in an endless series of bubbles and busts and 50 million impoverished Americans, ex-welfare queens all. What a principled way of using the word "principle" !! http://www.facebook.com/mike.roloff1?ref=name
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 8:45 a.m. Inappropriate
Wrong on all counts. Dems should ask instead what FDR or Huey Long would have done. They had principles, too.
Uninformed, shallow, superficial claptrap like this article is why I find myself coming to Crosscut less and less.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 9:29 a.m. Inappropriate
"Pick some principles that relate to the outcome you want first, and then put some facts underneath them."
You mean as in 'the end justifies the means'?
Doesn't yesterday's vote make it clear that the people are sick and tired of unprincipled politicians who do just what you suggest they should do?
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 9:31 a.m. Inappropriate
Even though I'm not very old yet, I have noticed in my lifetime an increasing importance ascribed to the emotional state of the public. The BBC entertainer Charlie Brooker sees the death of Princess Diana as being the turning point in this regard. In the 2010 election, the most important issue was not health care reform or "the economy", but that voters were dissatisfied. Whether politicians "get it" is one of the key litmus tests, much as anti-communism was a half century ago. The same was true two years ago, when desire for change was the main issue.
But this only creates the illusion of an emotional connection. In reality, that connection is mediated through pundits and reporters, who do as much to manufacture public emotion as to report it.
I don't know either how to navigate the situation. But it's clear that when Democrats have attempted to copy Republican tactics this year, such as trying to stir up populist resentment or playing the "I get it" game, the results have been comical at best.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 9:35 a.m. Inappropriate
I greatly admire this piece.
Roger Valdez, at Crosscut, has stated my own feelings better than I could. The "left" lacks leadership. Valdez praises Reaganesque devotion to " principles, stating them simply and clearly over and over again, recruiting candidates who have an unalloyed belief in those principles, and doing politics in an emotionally intelligent way."
The question is, where are our charismatic figures, our Reagans and our Palins? How is it that our current President with his obvious intellect can not translate his ideals into political leadership?
The problem is not, however, Mr. Obama's alone. Where the right hears a well sung country song, we have a cacophony, dozens of voices that vociferously fight for different agendas. The general public can not respond to a cacophony.
Valdez argues that the problem is not a lack of support for science and real politic as opposed to creationism and lack of belief in basic truths of modern economics. He argues that the charisma of Reagan was more important than the poverty of her ideas.
Put another way, can rational policies sell? The public can not support the rational left no matter how good Christine Gregoire, Dow Constantine or Maria Cantwell are at understanding the complexities of government. This question is not just important on the John Stewart Daily Show. Who in Washington State speaks for the progressives? Have Rossi, Hastings and the Tea Party appropriated the term "American values?"
Jim McDermitt could be a better leader, he certainly has Reaganesque simplicity about him, but McDermitt is an old man and at his best was not Reagan. Worse, Jim seems unable to understand the importance of local politics. Today's McDermitt is as distant from the leadership of Seattle Democrats as Warren Magnuson now is.
Who do we have who can provide leadership. There is potential. Patty Murry, has become very good at local politics. Could she take a bigger role?
cross posted at The Ave (handbill.us)
Steve Schwarts
Professor of Pathology, UW
Editor, THE-Ave.us
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 10:09 a.m. Inappropriate
I presume this author is at least 10 years younger than I am to wax nostalgic about the Reagan era. I was living abroad at the time and for me that was the 'point of no return' -- I still live outside the US. It was Reagan who sunk family farms into debt beyond any ability to pay it back, if you musos remember 'Farm-aid'. It was Reagan who let the christian fundamentalists in so that republicans never need worry about votes. It was, for me, the beginning of the dumbing down of the USA.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 11:06 a.m. Inappropriate
I'm with Ivan, if the democrats want to find some inspiration from past leaders, looking to Republicans is a loosing game. Huey Long and FDR had principles worth articulating. The current crop of Dem's & Rep's are beholden to the money that brings them to the election. Until that changes we don't have much hope for a people's agenda.
But there is hope, we're going to have two years of total grid lock which in this economy means it's going to get a lot worse.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 11:07 a.m. Inappropriate
The "confidence" on the Right is just part of a "con-game" that plays on the childish desire in all of us to have our cake and eat it too - something that is totally devoid of "principal."
Look at the Conservative economic model: less spending, lower taxes, no debt, and yet somehow everyone can still have everything they want. Free ice-cream and donkeys, without ever getting fat or having to use a shovel.
Yes, liberal and progressives have a tendency to be too wonky and deal too often in details - but isn't being honest more "principled" than promising what you know you can't deliver?
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 11:53 a.m. Inappropriate
There is little to indicate that those on the left are, as a class, more intellectual. In fact, the opposite is typically true. Modern liberals tend to advocate policies that make themselves feel good but frequently have little (or at least little positive) effect on the problem at hand. In the Seattle area, liberal ideas are popular and seldom questioned. But one does not build intellectual rigor in defending what's popular. It's the outliers, those who are unpopular, who develop the intellectual rigor to analyze their views. You'll never have your intellect tested talking "progressive" politics in Belltown.
The fact is that the left believes that government is the solution of first recourse, and that government is capable of solving most if not all problems, and that the natural sweep of history is for societies to become more and more socialistic. They believe that people, left to their own devices, will behave badly unless those people hold government office. Then they will magically become fonts of virtue and enlightenment. Government, under such a philosophy, will continue to grow and grow until its expense (both in dollar terms and in inefficiencies introduced into society and the economy) become unbearable. At some point, government growth must stop or there will be nothing left to tax. This is finally dawning on the people of Europe. Yet the American left wants to keep traveling down Heyak's Road to Serfdom.
If the left wants long-term relevance, they need to focus on those things that government does best, not on everything that it's possible for government to meddle in. Maybe then, they can come up with the pithy slogans the author yearns for.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 11:54 a.m. Inappropriate
Seattle Observer, you wrote: "Doesn't yesterday's vote make it clear that the people are sick and tired of unprincipled politicians who do just what you suggest they should do?"
If people were sick of that, why would they vote for the Republicans? I think this election shows Mr. Valdez is right: control the message, lie through your teeth, and you will win. After all, that's how Obama won in 2008. He said 'change change change' over and over again.
Not to rat on the guy, he's done a lot (see this site, pardon the French in the url: http://whatthefuckhasobamadonesofar.com/ ), but people don't want moderate reforms. They want a hero on a white horse with a flaming sword that will tell them America kicks ass. Welcome to 21st Century politics.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 12:34 p.m. Inappropriate
"here is little to indicate that those on the left are, as a class, more intellectual"
No but there are plenty of observations that those on the right, have gathered in their tent the group that believes God created the earth about 6,000 years ago. Which according to science is nonsense.
As for government doing what it does best, that's open for discussion on many points. For instance we can see that private health insurance has a tendency to maximize profits at the expense of individuals health. And that unregulated banks have a tendency to maximize profit by socializing the risk and privatizing the profit.
But it's pretty clear from the Russian experiment that Government does a poor job of food production when they remove all the individual incentive to make a profit. Same for cars.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 1:32 p.m. Inappropriate
True enough. But there are plenty of crackpots to go around; the right has not cornered the market in that regard. The fact that there are things that government does well is exactly why there should be such a discussion. The left is the obvious movement to lead this discussion because they are the "party of government." But if they insist on merely increasing the size and scope of government reflexively they will, inevitably, fail. The money will run out.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 4:49 p.m. Inappropriate
I personally, prefer a divided government. I like a Democratic President cuz they're more likable on the world's stage. And I like a Republican Congress. Cuz I want adults in charge of the check book.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 5:16 p.m. Inappropriate
Yesterday's swing of the pendulum was predictable and hardly surprising. Obama and the Democrats spent two years pushing an agenda that was largely out of step with what I believe is the fundamental issue of greatest concern to most Americans - economic sustainability. (Not that jobs and house foreclosures aren't important, but they are largely symptoms of the underlying problem.) Most Americans understand that our way of life is in jeopardy unless we can address the Republican and Democratic addiction to deficit spending. The Republicans won because they weren't Democrats, not because they had answers - hence their reluctance to gloat Tuesday night. I'm an independent that has probably voted Democrat 95% of the time for close to 40 years, but if there is one thing the Tea Party is right-on about it is the need to address our huge and growing deficits. The Democrats seem unable or unwilling to acknowledge or address the problem and the Republicans to date are offering only rhetoric. The rhetoric won Tuesday.
Democrats and Republicans have saddled us, our children and grandchildren with an unbelievable amount of debt. It is stifling economic growth. In the last decade, we took on two wars which by conservative estimates have cost us in excess of $1.3 trillion AND cut taxes! Insane. I support the concept of health care reform, but I think most American's are very concerned about the cost - estimated at some $1 trillion - and are asking can we afford it now? Especially, since virtually everyone agrees it contains few cost controls.
European government's have been forced to deal with the harsh realities of deficit spending. I believe it will be America's turn next. Obama appointed a bi-partisan commission which will offer a blueprint for addressing the issue later this year. Everyone knows the solution is some mix of raising taxes AND cutting spending. And, there is no way that reductions won't have to be the larger of the two.
I think this issue and how each party chooses to address it will decide the presidential election in 2012.
Posted Wed, Nov 3, 9:02 p.m. Inappropriate
Valdez is right. If you want to win, you control the message. The Dems have not done that for a long time, and we will continue losing as long as we think it's more important to sound rational and principled and complex than it is to stay on message and win elections.
Posted Thu, Nov 4, 11 a.m. Inappropriate
I'd be very interested to see polling on how many of Tuesday's votes were actually votes against rather than votes for. I am getting extremely tired of our current two-party system, and wonder how "neither of the above" would have fared if it had been a third option on the ballot.
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