The handwriting on the wall: A message from Egypt
The burdens on Egypt's young and poor are similar to what we are seeing in our country. As in the restive Arab lands, youth unemployment is running at high levels in the U.S. and Europe.
It’s easy, too easy perhaps, for we Americans and our political leaders to look at the astonishing events in Egypt and say, “They want what we’ve got: democracy, freedom, self-determination.”
That’s true, of course, and we should be true to those values by supporting the pro-democratic protest movements in Egypt.
It’s also easy for us to focus primarily on the administration’s messaging and positioning, examining each carefully chosen word from the president, vice president, or secretary of state. Absolutely, that’s all important, and it may well be that their carefully considered words have played an important role in the restraint shown by the Egyptian military. Hurrah!
But there is another message in the protests that we may not be hearing and can’t quite be so smug about. The protesters are a broad cross-section of Egyptian society, but they tilt young. Why is that? Young people are more idealistic than their elders? Probably so. But here’s another thing about them: many are unemployed. Employment among youth is Egypt is put at 33 percent. And too often the jobs they do have are low-wage, dead-end ones.
While we might like to think that’s an Egyptian, or an Arab, problem (youth unemployment in Yemen is 49 percent, in Palestine 38 percent, and in Tunisia 26 percent) it is not. It is, as Harvard Business Review blogger and author of “The New Capitalist Manifesto: Building a Disruptively Better Business” Umair Haque points out, “a global problem.”
Youth unemployment across Europe is at, depending on the estimate, 20 to 40 percent. "And in the USA, estimates range from 20 to 50 Percent."
As we watch events in Egypt, we hear a lot about democracy and political freedom. We hear less about unemployment and a society where the rich have gotten very rich and the poor and middle class have either sunk more deeply in poverty or barely stayed even over the last 30 years. We may not hear about that because, truth is, it sounds a lot like the U.S. in the last 30 years.
Haque writes that what we’re watching in Egypt (and elsewhere) is, “a massive malfunctioning of the global economy.” Here’s Haque: “At the root of the problem: dumb growth. Dumb growth is, in many ways bogus [growth] — rather than reflecting enduring wealth creation, it largely reflects the transfer of wealth: from the poor to the rich, the young to the old, tomorrow to today, and human beings to corporate ‘people.’ Dumb growth is growth without prosperity. And it’s far from an Egyptian problem.”
Last week the stock market in the U.S. continued to soar. But unemployment hardly budged. Only 36,000 new jobs were created last month. Eight million jobs have disappeared in this recession. Are those the markers of “dumb growth?”
The prosperity, or bubble from 2002 to 2006, that caved into our Great Recession was driven by “dumb growth,” growth that doesn’t translate into a healthier society, but results often in an greater overall social dysfunction. Dumb growth is the consequence of short-term thinking that may bolster a quarterly earnings report, but doesn’t build an economy.
Perhaps the message from Egypt, and the Middle East, is a more complex one, even a double-edged sword. Democracy and political freedom — you go guys (and gals), building an economy that works not just for the very wealthy but for everyone. Gulp!
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Comments:
Posted Sun, Feb 6, 8:38 a.m. Inappropriate
This article is very true. Unemployment in Europe has been in double-digits for years, with the young being especially hard hit. The solutions are clear: lower minimum wage to allow young people to more easily enter the work force; less union power to stop the excessive pay and benefits, inefficient work rules, protection of poor employees, etc., which hurts opportunities for the young; lower taxes and less regulation to help business, particularly smaller businesses, be created and expand; a smaller government so we can afford fewer taxes; stopping of illegal immigration which floods our workforce with millions of unskilled, uneducated people; and cutting back on welfare for healthy people so as to encourage self-reliance, marriage, hard worker, rather than dependancy and entitlement.
Posted Sun, Feb 6, 4:38 p.m. Inappropriate
My guess is that very few people will stand up for dumb growth. But what is it exactly? presumably the sort of growth that does not employ young people... or at least a lot of young people. The undeniably dumb growth of 2000 to 2007 probably did employ a lot of young Americans in the construction industry (medium wage, medium skilled work). During that era the unemployment rate hovered around 5% as I recall. What made it dumb was that it was almost entirely based on speculation and borrowed money but you would not find that out that by reading this article. Another quibble; percentages of the unemployed listed in this article do not correspond very well with information from the Bureau of Labor Statistics (yes, they record unemployment in other countries too). Mr. Robinson refers to "estimates" without attribution; well, he might be right but who is doing the estimating? and who exactly is "smug"?
Posted Mon, Feb 7, 4:58 a.m. Inappropriate
Due to the corporatization of our economy, and the great influenze of Wall Street, there does not exist the variety of quality entry level jobs that existed 25 years ago. Two of my early jobs, one at a small, locally-owned downtown hotel, and WaMu, while it was still a mid-sized bank, were jobs where I felt my work added to the value of the company. I knew the owner of the hotel, and I had met several times Lou Pepper and Kerry Kilinger at WaMu. I was not a mere cog at either company. At each company, I learned so much about business, that business school could not teach. Nowadays, young people waste away at Best Buy and Target. They are not in any position to create, nor to see the hows and whys a business functions. Their talents are wasted within companies whose primary mission is value to the shareholders.
Posted Mon, Feb 7, 10:30 a.m. Inappropriate
Great article, Tony. It is worth mentioning on this 100th birthday of Ronald Reagan, that he is the one that created this mess. He began the race to the bottom and race to global corporatism clearly outlined by shoreline's suggestions.
Posted Mon, Feb 21, 12:33 p.m. Inappropriate
Great article. If democracy just means “one man, one vote” [sic] this no more guarantees economic justice for the young or anyone than does autocracy—Mubarek and his ilk’s in the Arab world, or their more benign-seeming autocratic equivalents in our own corpocracy. Indigenous values, often tribal, will not simply disappear in the Arab world under the beautiful wave of youth and modernization: they somehow need to be taken into account in systems of government not as liberal as we want to believe the West’s are. As history shows elsewhere, order and liberty, control and freedom, the open competition of different interest groups and a willingness to accept the outcome, and, finally, trade and foreign investment are, together, critical. Achieving that precarious balance, never once and done, will take all kinds of time, patience, and support, political and economic. But envisioning how all this is to happen is the famous “next step.” Freedom first, whatever the subsequent uncertainty that is often the price of getting out of jail.
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