Inside King County's homeless count: the uncertainties and the lessons

The annual counts are anything but exciting espionage. But getting an accurate number is harder than you might think, and perhaps ultimately more rewarding. 

Camping in Seattle during the summer, when living homeless is easier.

mikecogh (Michael Coghlan)/Flickr

Camping in Seattle during the summer, when living homeless is easier.

In the early hours of last Friday (Jan. 27), an army of 800 volunteers combed 13 cities in King County, block by block, in search of a very elusive demographic: people who are homeless and “roughing it” on the streets.

That search, called the One Night Count, found 2,594 people on the street, a three percent increase from last year, when volunteers counted 2,442 people. People were found “in cars, tents, all night buses, select hospitals and curled up in blankets under bridges or under doorways,” according to a press release sent out by the Seattle/King County Coalition on Homelessness (SKCCH), the organizers behind the One Night Count. 

But that number is not just meant to be some statistic — the organizers know that the number is fairly imprecise and largely inadequate  — but rather it also serves as a source of inspiration, an advocacy tool in Olympia, and a way to bring communities together to fix problems.

The number does not reflect homeless people staying in shelters that night. The count from the shelters will be released, along with a bigger report, toward the end of February. Last year the number of sheltered homeless people was 6,382, which put the total number at 8,824. With the little variation seen in the trends from year to year, it's reasonable to expect around the same number.

On paper, the One Night Count can sound like a cool espionage mission. A team of people tread quietly through the cold night wielding flash lights, keeping their eyes open, peering into dark spaces within trees and hard to reach places. Some people without prior experience expect to uncover some kind of hidden village of homeless people, or to become privy to some deep, dark secret of King County.

But the reality is far tamer, perhaps boring for some. You walk around in the cold, chatting with the rest of your team of four or five volunteers, and find very little sign of people living on the streets. In my team's search in Federal Way, we found a whopping total of 12 people, most of whom were in vehicles — by no means less important, but not quite as stark a situation as one might imagine encountering.

Much the same difficulty in finding homeless people was, if the statistics are any indication, prevalant in other areas. There are a number of reasons for this, not least of which is that homeless people are highly mobile, constantly looking for places to stay warm and, perhaps more importantly, stay out of sight for safety reasons.

"A lot of people go to great lengths not to be noticed, because that’s how they survive," SKCCH Executive Director Alison Eisinger said. "We respect that, and we know that’s a reality. We really made peace with the fact that we’re not going to count every single person."

To counter the shortcomings of a count done with volunteers, some communities around the nation have resorted to employing those who are or who have been homeless to help with their counts. But even those with street smarts have found it hard, because where homeless people were last year, or even last week, may not be where homeless people are now.

Additionally, to scour every corner of a community in search of the homeless, vast amounts of resources are required — too vast to be either practical or worthwhile. While SKCCH has managed to create a large regiment of volunteers dedicated to the cause through 30 years of partnering with local institutions, developing into what is now the largest community-organized effort in the nation, there are still holes in the map that they are unable to fill. Eisinger said that the count here has only been able to cover spots where there was adequate community interest, meaning that some places, even if a sizeable homeless population might exist, are for the time being uncounted.

So far Tukwila and SeaTac, which both undoubtedly hold a significant homeless population, are not part of the One Night Count. Eisinger said SKCCH is trying to work with communities to bring the count to those places in the future, but she was unsure of when that would be.

One extra difficulty is the timing of the event. It can be harder to find people in the inclement weather, and the count happens at the end of January, because the Department of Housing and Urban Development under the George W. Bush administration made that a requirement. Those who haven't retreated to some hidden, sheltered (and hopefully slightly warm) spot are found mostly in vehicles. Out of the 2,594 people counted on the street in King County, about 790 — or 30 percent — were people thought to be living in vehicles. Those living in impermanent structures, such as tents, numbered only 348 people.

The method for counting people in vehicles and structures causes further trouble. For every vehicle and structure where the exact number of inhabitants cannot be seen (which are most if not just about all, due to fog, ice, curtains, or cardboard blocking the windows), two people are counted. Considering the high percentage of the count that comes from these two categories combined, this method could lead to overcount or undercount. However, finding out the exact number within would be too troublesome and disruptive to bother with, so organizers are left with their hands tied, hoping to strike some semi-accurate middle ground.

There are other methods used to count homeless people, but King County, which has been able to develop its method for over 30 years, when "Operation Nightwatch" performed the count, has one of the most extensive counts in the nation.

Communities that have been unable to collect together such large resources have made do with other ways. In Travis County, Texas (where Austin resides), the point-in-time count is performed during the day, from 1 p.m.-7 p.m. Furthermore, they survey every tenth person to create a random sample of what the homeless population looks like. Last year, only 250 volunteers performed the count, a paltry number compared to King County, and they counted about 1,000 people.

Eisinger said that by counting at night, volunteers did not have to bother with issues of discerning who or who was not homeless as much, and they did not have to disrupt homeless people's lives by bothering them with survey questions. Furthermore, Travis County's method of counting seems unable to differentiate those who find shelter at night from those who rough it outside. Still, flaws aside, this writer (and several other volunteers, I'm sure) might have appreciated a count that did not extend from 1:30 a.m. to an hour at which people have already started morning commutes. 

However, Oregon's Multnomah County, has developed a few extra methods that could add more depth to King County's method. Outreach workers spend the week prior to the count, connecting to various homeless encampments and completing surveys on anyone who sleeps outside on the night of the count. Likewise, more than 150 agencies and programs conduct short surveys with anyone they encounter sleeping outside. Then, on the night of the count, shelters make a record of everyone they turn away.

It may be possible to learn from this example of  taking extra efforts to connect and survey homeless people roughing it the week before the street count takes place. This would appear likely to give a fuller and slightly less sparse picture of homelessness on the streets. But whether the amount of resources required for such actions justifies the end result is a different question. (Also, it should be noted that, despite the extra techniques employed, Multnomah County by no means has a more expansive count: they recorded only 1,532 people a year ago.)


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Comments:

Posted Thu, Feb 2, 6:39 a.m. Inappropriate

Hold on.
King County and the City of Seattle are going to "end homelessness" by 2015.
At least that's what they promised when they took the money.

BlueLight

Posted Thu, Feb 2, 12:45 p.m. Inappropriate

Zachariah, thank you for this smart, compelling, informative "inside look" at the One Night Count. It's an interesting analysis both of the process in light of ONC's elsewhere in the nation and of the different kinds of relevance of our own. BlueLight conveniently forgets the remarkably high numbers of affordable housing units added by the city and the county since the End Homelessness project began, and the remarkably high numbers of people who lost their housing at the same time because of the recession. Without the campaign to end homelessness, One Night Count numbers would be far, far higher. Another significant loss to the affordable housing stock since CEHKC began is the number that has been upscaled during the same period into condominiums and rentals the working poor can't afford. In other words, good solutions and achievements have been pouring into the bucket of need, but the bucket keeps grossly expanding.

Posted Thu, Feb 2, 2:26 p.m. Inappropriate

Good work, Mr. Bryan; beyond that, what Ms. Lightfoot said, with one addition. As she notes, "the bucket of need...keeps grossly expanding"; what she omits is it will continue to do so until capitalism is recognized as manifest evil and rejected accordingly.

Posted Fri, Feb 3, 9:43 a.m. Inappropriate

I'm afraid that "the reality" is MUCH greater, and that we as a community (and nation) have our heads in the sand on this issue. Did the count include Seattle? If it did, then the number is way off - I can come up with 10% of the total any given morning just walking the few blocks to my office in Pioneer Square! Although the point of this article is obviously not to ask the real hard questions, one of them has to be what causes people to CHOOSE to live on the streets or embrace the street life. It's very likely that the majority fall into this category (or something close to it when "choice" may not be the accurate noun, as in the case of physical and/or mental impairment), and thus discussions of affordable housing options, or even free shelters, miss the point.

AN

Posted Mon, Feb 6, 12:52 p.m. Inappropriate

The question I never see answered in these counts and discussions are how many empty shelter beds are available at the same time of the count. Might change the conversation.

Posted Tue, Feb 7, 4:41 p.m. Inappropriate

AN and supersinic, apparently neither of you are reading much about homelessness, why it happens, and to whom it hapens.

Shelter turnaways have been increasing, and in fact there are counts, and this year during the day of the count, turnaways of families from shelters was counted. Think of that when you're harummphing about why people "choose" to be homeless: children are being turned away from shelters because there's no room. A local family shelter was having so many turnaways, they are going out to religious congregations begging them to get on a schedule to take people in. But the religious community is already doing major work helping people who find themselves homeless, and our capacity to do so is not endless.

AN, the count certainly did include Seattle. 1,898 people were found in Seattle without shelter on the night of the count.

sarah90

Posted Wed, Feb 8, 9:24 p.m. Inappropriate

Sara90, nobody harumphed here. They asked a question and suggest that maybe shelter isn't the only issue here. I appreciate your concern but except for your undocumented story about a local shelter, you don;t provide any of the data you say was collected. If the shelters are full why isn't that part of the story.

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