We aren't Greece, but Seattle and Olympia have their own spending issues
In Olympia, most leaders are still weak-kneed about ending business tax breaks. Seattle's arena discussions and Sound Transit's failure to serve Federal Way show why voters should watch local politicians closely.
Sound Transit
There are big, overhanging financial and economic issues that are vital to our futures — the Greek debt crisis, our own long-term debt problem, the lingering mortgage/housing morass, and the inabilty of President Barack Obama and the Congress to enact a budget that will both foster near-term growth and contain long-term deficit spending.
The financial and economic issues facing state and local governments are, by comparison, trivial. But that does not mean they can be ignored. Here are some that bear watching, with a skeptical eye.
- The state budget and "tax expenditures": With less than a month left in the legislative session, our Legislature still has no credible plan to reduce the approximately $1.5 billion state deficit. New York and California remain deeply in the red but Washington is among a handful of other states that are still in deficit coming out of the national recession.
That deficit could be erased immediately if the Legislature chose to pare the long list of "tax expenditures" (i.e., loopholes, subsidies, deductions, and exemptions) that benefit favored sectors and companies in the state. At last tally, they added up at state and local level to three times the size of the state's biennial budget. Every Washington governor in recent years has pledged to review and pare them back. But, once elected, they have done the opposite. Gov. Gary Locke was the champion originator of these giveaways, which included during his tenure billions to The Boeing Co. so it would not move assembly operations to low-wage states (such as South Carolina). Gov. Chris Gregoire promised a thorough review but one of her first actions was to extend new subsidies to the biotech industry.
At the federal level, leaders of both political parties agree that a scrubbing of tax expenditures will be vital to deficit and debt reduction. They have been unable to agree thus far on where to start. These gifts to chosen industries and companies not only shrink the public revenue base; they distort competition and retard economic growth.
The local hero of the hour on this issue is state Rep. Reuven Carlyle, Democrat of Seattle, who has legislation (HB 2762), co-sponsored by state Rep. Glenn Anderson, Republican of Fall City, which would sunset these tax breaks and force their review on a rolling basis. He would exempt breaks relating to food, drugs, employee wages, and those required by the constitution or an existing legal agreement. The underlying concept: to challenge the continuance of these provisions into perpetuity and force their reassesment and, in many cases, expiration.
The proposal is too sensible to be immediately embraced. Rep. Jay Inslee, the Democratic candidate for governor, recently issued his jobs and economic-growth plan. He, too, pledged to review tax expenditures as governor but, in the same document, proposed new ones for job creators and for clean energy, biotech, and computer startups. He proposed to extend breaks currently in place for renewable-energy development and for companies investing in manufacturing and research.
State Sen. Ed Murray. Democrat of Seattle, the state Senate's chief budget voice, recently discussed his own proposals, which would include raising more money from capital-gains and sales taxes but, at the same time, also extend some breaks.
Whether at federal, state, or local level, there always will be proposals to extend special tax treatment to entities and activities deemed virtuous by their sponsors — and the elected officials who get their political and financial support. Any respectable economist will tell you that one cancels out another and that a tax favor or subsidy extended to someone will give it an unfair advantage over others — meanwhile creating huge holes in the public revenue base which must be filled by taxes from other sources. That is where we are in Washington.
Go, Reuven Carlyle.
- The NBA, NHL, and a new sports arena: Mayor Mike McGinn has assured voters that a prospective new SoDo arena, to house new National Basketball Association and National Hockey League teams, would be built without taxpayer subsidies by San Francisco hedge-fund manager Chris Hansen, a Seattle native and sports fan. Well, there might be some taxes attached to ticket and parking fees but, really, those should not really be called subsidies.
Some City Council members are properly skeptical. If rich guy Paul Allen could get subsidies for his football stadium and South Lake Union developments, and the Mariners for Safeco Field, how is it that Hansen and prospective NBA and NHL team owners would be able to do it without them?
For one thing, there are no NBA and NHL franchises about to commit to Seattle. NBA Commissioner David Stern has suggested that the league would look favorably on a transfer to Seattle of the Sacramento Kings, if Sacramento voters do not approve a new arena there by March 1. Stern clearly is using the same tactic to blackmail Sacramento that he used unsuccesfully while trying to force Seattle into big new public subsidies to keep the Sonics here. Current betting, though, is that Sacramento may yield to the tactic and come up with the money to keep the Kings in town (Sacramento's mayor is Kevin Johnson, a longtime NBA point guard).
Even if the Kings were to move here, we would then have to contend with the Kings owners, the Maloof brothers. The Maloofs are Vegas guys and even more crass and demanding than Stern. They would make us wish again for the slightly less grasping Howard Schultz.
The NHL either could move the failing Phoenix Coyotes, or a future expansion franchise, to a new Seattle arena. But, first, there would have to be an arena.
McGinn has his story and apparently is sticking to it. A good policy would be to hope but verify.
- Federal Way light rail: Responding to complaints from Federal Way officlals that Sound Transit light rail was not headed their way, Sound Transit's capital projects committee unanimously has voted to allocate $24 million to a study of a rail corridor between Highline Community College and the Federal Way transit center, as proposed by board member Pete von Reichbauer and state Sen. Tracey Eide, both of Federal Way. The full, unelected Sound Transit board is expected to give a go-ahead later this month.
A 2008 ballot measure promised a station in north Federal Way as part of a light-rail system extension in King, Snohomish, and Pierce counties. But, as with other promised stations, this one fell by the wayside as Sound Transit found itself without enough money to do it. Sound Transit blamed "sales tax shortfalls" for the Federal Way change.
Sound Transit ridership and revenue projections, lists of promised stations, and construction timetables historically have been subject to radical change once voters gave the go-ahead to expansions. The reversal on the promised north Federal Way station thus should not have been a surprise. It led in turn to complaints in Federal Way about overcrowded and inadequate express bus service and, then, the von Reichbauer-Eide call for the $24 million study, which, it is anticipated, will call for even more money to run rails where they were supposed to go in the first place.
State Auditor Brian Sonntag has underway a comprehensive performance audit of Sound Transit, which is expected to be the principal achievement of his last year in office before retirement. The audit originally was proposed to cover only a small segment of Sound Transit activity but now has been expanded to include its financial management, operations, and other activities.
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Comments:
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 8:33 a.m. Inappropriate
Yay Rep. Reuven Carlyle!
Tax breaks are spending just as surely as writing a check and they need to be treated just the same.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 9:17 a.m. Inappropriate
Yay Rep. Reuven Carlyle!
Except, perusing his 57 page bill one finds no reference to the tax breaks given to indian tribes. It has been estimated that Christine Gregoire's quid-pro-quo gas-tax deal with tribes will cost taxpayers $621 Million over the next 17 years.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 9:56 a.m. Inappropriate
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State Auditor Brian Sonntag has underway a comprehensive performance audit of Sound Transit, which is expected to be the principal achievement of his last year in office before retirement.
Nobody should get their hopes up about this performance audit disclosing anything Team Sound Transit doesn’t want disclosed.
The SAO under Brian Sonntag has covered up that government’s failures to treat taxpayers for over a decade. The SAO has consistently turned a blind eye to how that taxing district failed to follow ordinances and its own policies. For example, when “Sound Move” was in effect Sonntag’s office failed to note in its annual accountability audit reports how that taxing district was not complying with the following spending budget mandates spelled out in Appendix B:
“The RTA Financing Plan will provide a budget for each of the five RTA subareas, comprised of the subarea’s projected share of local taxes, bonding capacity and farebox proceeds, and an assumption for federal funding, and related expenditures.”
Those requirements – voter approved legal limits – were disregarded by Sound Transit’s staff after 2001. In annual accountability audits the state auditor is required by statute to examine whether “the ordinances and orders of the local government” are being followed. RCW 43.09.260(5). Despite that legal requirement Sonntag’s office NEVER audited to ensure internal procedures existed to ensure compliance with those revenue spending limits.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 9:57 a.m. Inappropriate
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The SAO’s previous performance audit reports regarding that government and its activities have been worse than useless. Here’s the one from 2007 relating to aspects of light rail construction:
http://www.sao.wa.gov/auditreports/auditreportfiles/ar1000005.pdf
Here are just two examples of how lousy that report was:
-- On page 22 it says this: “The estimated cost for Link Light Rail is $2.6 billion.” That report ignores completely the tax cost to the public of light rail. Within a month of the release of that report Sound Transit filed a document with the SEC called an “official statement”. That was its disclosure statement needed to sell hundreds of millions of dollars of bonds. Page 4 of it says that light rail’s estimated cost was $4.1 billion, and that the tax cost to the public during the Sound Move construction period would be $6.9 billion.
-- On page 51 it says this:
Sound Transit has had “second-opinion” cost estimates performed for high risk and complex construction packages such as . . . the University Link ($1.5 billion). This approach supports best practices and efforts to mitigate cost overruns.
The year after that audit report came out the University Link budget was amended upward by the board to $1.9 billion.
The SAO just hired the same small group of accountants in Portland to do this new performance audit that produced that useless, misleading 2007 audit report. Think about it.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 9:57 a.m. Inappropriate
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What the public, state and local legislators, and the press now need is a range of facts and estimates bearing on the ballooning massive local public costs Sound Transit intends to impose.
A story in the Times from sixteen months ago said staff STILL wasn’t ready to disclose the tax hit it intended to deliver to the individuals, families, and our local economy:
A huge question is the long-term effect on taxpayers.
Sound Transit does have legal power to prolong taxes and issue bond debt indefinitely, so the costs stretch far into the 2040s or 2050s, instead of the mid-2030s time frame that agency managers described in the run-up to the 2008 vote.
However, financial officer Brian McCartan has yet to recalculate how the recession might push the agency to use more or longer debt financing.
http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/localnews/2012980341_soundtransit24m.html
McCartan has this information, he just won’t disclose it. That “more or longer debt financing” is punishing and unnecessary.
There is a muni-bond-related disaster unfolding at Sound Transit. The newest disclosures from it about its plans for long-term bond sales are appalling.
The 2011 Q2 “Asset Liability Management Report” from September last year said that taxing district expected to issue $5.37 billion in new long-term bonds. Then, just three months later, the 2011 Q3 “Asset Liability Management Report” reported Sound Transit now plans on selling $6.8 billion of additional long-term bonds.
That’s news. At some point during those three months that entirely unaccountable taxing district increased its estimate of how much long-term debt it wants to saddle the people of this area with by one and one-half billion dollars. The tax costs for the region required to secure those bonds likely will be at least $85 billion. No peer taxes the people subject to it anywhere near that heavily for buses and trains.
We’ll know when we get the new audit report whether Sonntag will continue to whitewash this unfolding financial disaster.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 9:59 a.m. Inappropriate
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An Open Letter to Auditor Sonntag:
The SAO is paying the same accountants from Oregon to deliver a performance audit report of Sound Transit that produced that I-900 audit report in 2007. That suggests we can expect another whitewash job.
In the event your office intends to actually shed light on important financial information of use to the public and government officials, the scope of the upcoming report should be delineated carefully. The audit you commission should provide much-needed financial information relating to matters Sound Transit has been keeping from the public:
-- The audit report should set out detailed information about the taxing amounts that government anticipates it would need to secure all the long-term bonds it expects to issue. Those estimates now are a complete mystery outside the silo.
-- At the outset the performance audit report should note there are no taxpayer protection limits applicable to Sound Transit under ST2, such as tax collection limits, tax revenue spending limits, bond selling limits, limits on the extent of tax collections that may be pledged as security in bond sales contracts, or caps of any type when it comes to how much can be spent by that government on debt financing costs, capital costs, operations costs, and payments to other governments. This upcoming report should describe the ways in which that reality presents a huge threat: the unaccountable political appointees running the show for that local government can abuse taxpayers by spending too much, collecting too much tax, pledging too much tax to bonds, obtaining delays, etc.
-- The report should address the causes for the recent bad disclosure from that government’s staff about the increased bond sales projections. Why did staff last quarter raise the anticipated bond sale figure for ST2 from $5.3 billion to $6.8 billion? That stinks, and no reason was provided for that huge upward adjustment.
-- The report also should address why Sound Transit’s financing plan for buses and trains is many, many times more punishing in terms of direct regressive taxes on people than what all the peers are doing. The differences between Sound Transit’s financing plan and how the peers pay for rail transit – mostly federal grants, progressive taxing, little or no new taxing, etc. – should be described.
-- The report from the audit team should address whether disclosures by that government prior to the vote about costs the public would bear if ST2 passed were misleading. An estimate should be provided of what the new tax costs would have been had the CFO’s estimate in the weeks before the 2008 vote were accurate (McCartan said before the vote the new taxing should stop in 2038). That would be a salient point of comparison to the current, much higher projections.
So Auditor Sonntag: are we going to hear in September when this SAO report comes out that the accountants from Portland were NOT told to report on those matters? What is your plan? Maybe you already told those accountants all they needed to do for their six-figure fee is “describe whether current spending plans comply with the lowered tax revenue forecasts”, or something like that. That kind of audit scope would be just another cover-up tactic, such as the one that resulted in that 2007 report.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 12:39 p.m. Inappropriate
Hey crossrip, why don't you ask Mr. Brewster to let you write a column? Obviously, you've done a lot of research on the various subjects that you endlessly repeat in all the comments you post, and in this case you've written more words than Mr. Van Dyke! Hardly anyone who writes for this digital rag gets paid (hence the many articles by shills for various causes), but you would have the satisfaction of knowing people could actually search for and find your thoughts.
Seriously.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 2:23 p.m. Inappropriate
Hey orino, how you know the offer has not already been made and declined? Thanks though for some critical thinking. Rarer than one would think.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 2:34 p.m. Inappropriate
Let's see now, an autonomous public agency with unlimited ability to issue bonds and, because of the low interest rate environment, a brisk demand for tax sheltered public debt. Did we not have an agency like that some time in the past? and what was the result? not good, was it?
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 5:50 p.m. Inappropriate
Orino says hardly anyone gets paid for writing for Crosscut. That's wildly untrue: nearly everyone gets paid.
Posted Tue, Feb 14, 8:54 p.m. Inappropriate
the penultimate TVD paragraph makes sense; ST already has forecast low ridership from Link to Federal Way; it would not be competetive for FTA funds; south King County riders need service today, not decades from now; ST has already provided center access ramps at South 317th Street; the capacity of Link would be grossly wasteful and overkill in that market; I-5 will be tolled.
Posted Fri, Feb 17, 4:19 p.m. Inappropriate
Washington State as Greece...fabulous parallel...and oh so true!
The number of people riding the gravy train is so immense its only going 3 mph and the boiler is about to blow off its bolts!
Posted Fri, Feb 17, 7:37 p.m. Inappropriate
Vampire Hedge Funds Are Sucking Greece Dry
If Goldman Sachs is a vampire squid, as Matt Taibbi so aptly named it, then hedge funds are like piranhas or sharks, eager to strip the financial carcass to the bone. Check out Taibbi over at Rolling Stone, and Joshua Holland at Alternet.
+++Greece and the US are not alike, at all, and that's really just more lazy thinking.
Read economist Dean Baker, who's faced down reporters and pundits for promulgating this parallel: “Greece's experience has as much to do with the U.S. as a corner lemonade stand does with Google.”
The United States -- biggest national economy in the world. U.S. public debt equaled 61 percent of our annual economic output. Not even close to the historic highs USA hit during World War II and then through the mid-1950s.
Greece -- a bit larger than Maryland's economy. They face a debt equal to 148 percent of its yearly economic activity – 2.5 times the relative debt load of the U.S.
U.S. is a “low-public spending” country. That's 25 percent of our economic output. Greece's public sector equals around 40 percent of its output.
Just get a handle on this -- we'll keep it simple
http://www.alternet.org/economy/154130/the_nitty_gritty_on_how_and_why_greece_will_leave_the_eurozone
http://www.alternet.org/teaparty/151669/no,_we_won't_end_up_like_greece%3A_5_reasons_conservative_fear-mongering_is_totally_wrong/?page=entire
Posted Sat, Feb 18, 6 a.m. Inappropriate
One several-day later comment.
Of course the U.S. is not Greece and my piece nowhere suggests it.
The shaky situation in Greece is threatening to our economy, however, because of its effect on the Euro zone. The zone is holding together (something greatly in the U.S. interest) only because of strenuous work by the European Central Bank, private banks in Europe and the U.S., and the continuing leadership of Germany, which is propping up Greece and other weak Euro-zone partners. Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland also are shaky, though not yet in the category of Greece. U.S. and European banks would take a tremendous hit if any of these countries were to default or if their sovereign debt were severely downgraded. Most readers no doubt understand this.
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