Obama speaks; McGinn's speaking is dissected
It was a week where the president took a surprising stand, voters in Europe and Indiana made their wishes known, and Mike McGinn saw his words about car usage checked for accuracy.
Pete Souza/White House
Washington State Department of Transportation/Flickr (CC)
Here are random snapshots of the past political week, from global to local. All struck me as having potential for shaping events in the months ahead.
- Lugar goes down: Long-serving Republican Sen. Richard Lugar was defeated Tuesday (May 8) in the Indiana Republican primary by a Tea Party-backed state treasurer.
Lugar, a former reform mayor of Indianapolis, came to the Senate in 1976 and since then had been one of its most thoughtful and respected members, finishing as ranking Republican and former chair of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. He joins other departing moderates of both parties in Senate and House. Whatever happens in this fall's presidential election, Congress seems certain to be even more greatly polarized in 2013, populated by diehard believers on both sides of the aisle. TV talking heads, for the most part, have characterized Lugar as a victim of Tea Party extremism. Fact is, though, that his opponent was no rightwing crazy.
Challenger Richard Mourdock probably won, mainly, because Lugar, 80, seemed old and tired to Indiana voters. His campaign appearances reportedly lacked energy and Lugar personally appeared worn as election day loomed.
Washington's nationally and locally respected Sen. Warren Magnuson met a similar fate in 1980 in his general-election defeat by Slade Gorton. Despite his prior accomplishments, he seemed tired and done to state voters. Forget gratitude for past service; voters can be uncaring and ruthless when they're done with you.
- Gay marriage confusion: President Barack Obama had equivocated and dodged regarding his stand on gay marriage but, over the last week, Vice President Joe Biden and three Cabinet members stated their unequivocal support for it. These appeared to be more than trial balloons but, instead, advance signals that Obama soon would follow suit.
Then came Tuesday night's adoption in North Carolina of a provision banning gay marriage in the state. That made it the 31st state with such a law. Yet Obama bit the bullet Wednesday and went ahead with a straight-up gay-marriage endorsement. It is always better politics to appear strong and straightforward rather than equivocal and evasive. But the decision must have been difficult.
Obama campaign officials have been characterizing North Carolina as one of a handful of swing states which will decide the fall election and speaking confidently of their chances there. Both the president and First Lady have visited there often. The Democratic national convention will be held in Charlotte this summer. The gay-marriage vote had to have surprised them.
- European weakness: France has elected a new president opposed to further austerity measures in his country. Greece has held a national election which gave increased power to irresponsible demagogues on both the Right and the Left. A new election probably will need to be held there within a few weeks.
Voters' message in both countries: We may need to reduce public debt and undertake domestic reforms, but won't sacrifice to do it. Similar sentiments exist in Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland, where ordinary voters are rebelling against the policies of finance ministers, European central bankers, and international institutions that have kept them afloat.
Bond markets will punish these countries. Germans, who have pursued the right policies and are not responsible for euro-zone weakness, are tired of supporting European partners who refuse to put their own economic houses in order. There is talk that the Greeks may leave the euro zone and that other EU countries might follow. It is unlikely that this will happen since the countries involved have worked so intensely over the post-World War II years to construct a democratic and economically successful community.
But the present confusion and weakness will be contagious and will affect our own financial and economic stability. This is not getting the media attention of the John Edwards payoff trial or recent travails of athletes and pop-music artists. But it matters far more.
- Seattle political nonsense: Kudos to The Seattle Times city beat reporter who took the trouble to check Mayor Mike McGinn's recent KUOW statements regarding local transportation against the facts of the matter.
McGinn made his statements to reinforce his proposal to the City Council that developers not be required to provide parking in new buildings within one-quarter mile of transit. Seattle, he said, "had better things to do than build parking spaces that will go empty."
He asserted that 19 percent of Seattle households had no vehicle. The correct number, according to the 2010 census, is 16 percent, a difference of 6,300 households, and it becomes 11 percent if you include households with at least one person working. The same census indicated 39 percent of households had two vehicles and 17 percent had three or more. Altogether, data show, a strong majority of people who work in Seattle use their cars to get there.
McGinn also asserted that the percentage of 16-year-olds getting their drivers' licenses was at an all-time low, as was the percentage of 21-year-olds. Fact is, however, that the percentage of 16-year-olds in King County getting their licenses had increased from 31 percent in 2006 to 45 percent in 2011, according to state government, which said it did not have comparable data for 21-year-olds.
McGinn favors a transition from automobiles to bicycles, streetcars, and light rail. His office told the Times that commuting by bike in Seattle was up by 105 percent in 2010 over 2000, transit by 11 percent, and walking by 25 percent. But, Times research showed, cyclists went from 1.9 percent of commuters in 2000 to 3.6 percent in 2010. A Seattle bicycle census last year showed that, in all neighborhoods but downtown, there were fewer bicycles in use than two years before.
McGinn was asked in his KUOW interview where Seattleites should put their cars if buildings where they lived or worked had no parking. "Then they'll have to figure out where to park their car, just like everyone else in the city," the mayor replied.
If you're the mayor and love bikes, streetcars, and light rail — and believe everyone should ride them because you prefer it — this is an understandable view. But a majority of Seattleites own and must use their cars. City Council take notice.
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Comments:
Posted Fri, May 11, 9:45 a.m. Inappropriate
The mayor's view on transportation is amazingly out of touch. His full-bore support for a publicly and privately funded new arena in Sodo, while doing nothing to fix the huge transportation problems already there and that the facility would exacerbate, clearly shows a lack of perspective.
This manufacturing and industrial center, highly dependent on the waterfront, railroads and efficient truck transportation, is a multi-billion-dollar driver of region's economy. Swallowing up industrial land and increasing already congested traffic for a bunch of low-paying service jobs while forcing out great family wage jobs is extremely short-sighted. The focus seems not on the best future for the city, but trying to find an issue that might garner a second term.
Posted Fri, May 11, 10:15 a.m. Inappropriate
More false equivalentarianism from TVD. Mourdock is most definitely an extreme right-winger. He strongly criticizes the Obama administration's successful automaker bailout, strongly opposes the DREAM Act, and strongly opposes bipartisanship and compromise on foreign policy or any policy. He's also an ardent climate change denier.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/05/09/us/politics/richard-mourdocks-many-pursuits-dont-include-bipartisanship.html
http://thehill.com/blogs/e2-wire/e2-wire/226307-defeated-sen-lugar-laments-gop-climate-stance
In terms of TVD's statements about both sides being equally responsible for the current polarization, see Thomas Mann's and Norm Ornstein's statements about this, that the problem now is clearly the Republicans:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/lets-just-say-it-the-republicans-are-the-problem/2012/04/27/gIQAxCVUlT_story.html
Posted Fri, May 11, 1:48 p.m. Inappropriate
Ted -- Nice run down on the news of the week. I agree that Lugar's defeat had more to do with him being out of touch than any TEA party action. However, it's interesting that races on the R side always mention the TEA party while races on the D side never mention the Occupy movement. Yes, the TEA party has some significant big money backers, but why can't Occupy do the same thing.
On Greece and Europe: Do you think it would really be the worst thing for the Euro to break up? It might strengthen the various economies if they were allowed to take advantage of opportunities available to them that differ form their neighbors. The Euro hasn't been around all that long. Maybe we shouldn't think of separation as all that hard to do. I bet some Germans and Greeks would be OK with it.
Posted Fri, May 11, 3:46 p.m. Inappropriate
"A Seattle bicycle census last year showed that, in all neighborhoods but downtown, there were fewer bicycles in use than two years before."
While this is interesting data, it's taken on a single day so it's very weather dependent. Last year the weather was cold/wet and rainy, the year before relatively nice. In fact a week of crappy weather in late September is often enough to get the fair weather commuters to switch over to a bus even if the weather is still reasonable.
Posted Fri, May 11, 4:26 p.m. Inappropriate
Jordan: I think you may have answered your own question with your recent piece re the demonstrations in Seattle. The Tea Partiers have
a discrete agenda of deficit- and debt-reduction, around which its supporters can focus lobbying and electoral efforts, whereas the Occupy movement has no such targeted focus and ranges from those with a beef about Wall Street or income inequality to anarchists. I don't know if Occupiers ever will agree on a coherent two- or three-point agenda and organized political action.
Yes, it would be tragic if Greece or others were to withdraw from the Euro zone or European Union. First, any country withdrawing would find itself in even deeper financial and economic trouble than at present, without the support of the European Central Bank, Germany, and others who have been susstaining Greece, for instance, through difficulties it could not face by itself. Second, the whole enterprise arose from the ashes of WW II when a few far-sighted European leaders saw the need to establish a political, economic, and financial framework which would make another war among European nations impossible. The dissoluation of that framework could lead to the kind of selfish, natinoalist policies which brought the continent to past acrimony and war.
It also would be a blow to the United States. Blowback from
single-country defaults in Europe would damage our own financial and economic systems. The breakup of EU cooperation would take away
our single strongest partner in the world.
I certainly can understand the motivations of Mayor McGinn and others
who favor increased bicycle use and, for that matter, commuting on foot. The fact remains, however, that a vast majority of Seattleites
must depend on their cars for vital transportation. Many do not live near transit. Many who do cannot travel conveniently to where transit takes them. We should be looking for alternatives to auto transportation but cannot force them on people for whom they presently do not fit.
Posted Sun, May 13, 6:02 p.m. Inappropriate
Maggie lost in the 1980 General Election along with 11 other Democratic Senators, including Frank Church; it was the Reagan landslide; Lugar lost in the Primary; the only parallel is age.
The Fairview Fanny editorial board is usually much more confused than McGinn.
Most of the Seattle Council agrees with the Mayor's proposal on how much parking should be required to be built in new multifamily projects. It is a question of housing affordability and market freedom. It is not a case of hating cars. It is within a quarter mile of FREQUENT transit, not just any transit. If the curb space in a neighborhood is parked out, the market solution would be to price the curb space, not impose parking requirements on new buildings.
Improved service frequency is the most important way to improve transit ridership. The McGinn and Council push toward short, slow, costly streetcars (e.g., SLU and First Hill) is counter to that, as it spends too many scarce transport dollars on urban bling without improving mobility much.
The data about 16 year olds may not be bad; Seattle is only part of King County. It is easier to live without a car in Seattle and more difficult to do so in much of King County outside Seattle.
Posted Sun, May 13, 8:07 p.m. Inappropriate
Thanks for your comment, Eddie. Yes, a majority of the Council may at this time agree with the mayor's proposal. But it also agreed with his proposal last year to impose a sharp car-tab surtax on Seattle auto owners---an attempt, in that case, to tax Seattleites out of their cars. But voters turned down the proposal one-sidedly.
There are many ways to improve Seattle transit effectiveness, beginning with shifting of resources to cost-efficient ordinary bus service from costly streetcars and light rail which carry fewer people to fewer destinations for far more tax dollars. Right now, though,
the mayor and council must face the situation as it is. That is,
that a vast majority of Seattle residents still use their cars for transportation to and from work and for other vital purposes and that
local transit, of any kind, does not take them efficiently to the places they need to go. They thus need parking where they live and work until the mayor's more perfect world comes into existence.
Posted Mon, May 14, 10:04 a.m. Inappropriate
Actually, the 2011 ballot measure to increase vehicle license fees was from the Seattle Transportation Benefit District, not the mayor. The council forms the TBD; the mayor has no vote. The TBD board voted 9-0 to place it on the ballot. Seattle voters approved a much higher, but more progressive motor vehicle excise tax (1.4 percent) to fund the still born monorail governed by the Seattle Monorail Project board.
Flawed as it is, transit in Seattle is improving and attracting more riders, and, on net, SDOT is helping (e.g., signals, bulbs, sidewalks, funding). The JTW data shows Seattle transit ridership is higher than in PDX. About 40 percent of commute trips to downtown and the U District are on transit. Those markets have paid parking.
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