Why we ought to get real about home sizes

The bursting of the real estate bubble has led to a small difference in the size of Americans' homes. But there would be real gains from a much more serious shrinking.

Ella Jenkins, right, is living with her parents in California while she builds a 130 square foot house in their yard.

Courtesy of Dawn Jenkins

Ella Jenkins, right, is living with her parents in California while she builds a 130 square foot house in their yard.

The real estate bubble that kicked off the 21st century taught us some things that a home isn’t. It isn’t a way to get rich quick. It isn’t a cash machine. It isn’t a speculative investment that’s guaranteed never to lose value. 

This is not to make light of the pain of people who have suffered from the real-estate-fueled financial meltdown. It wasn’t the buyers who made those claims about residential real estate — it was the people who were making the loans. Say what you may about undeserving people getting loans they shouldn’t have gotten, but remember one thing: Not one of the borrowers ever approved a loan. That was done by the people who made money writing the loans.

Few of the people who bought during the bubble have gotten any help from banks or the government. Lenders and speculators, on the other hand, got billions in bailouts. CoreLogic, which provides analytical data on real estate and financing, estimates that, in the fourth quarter of 2011, the difference between the current value and the amount owed for underwater loans was $717 billion. That is hardly more than the $700 billion handed over instantly to banks and corporations in the early days of the financial meltdown — and a fraction of the trillions in loan guarantees and other assistance the big players got.

We could have reduced the principal on every underwater loan to current market value for less money than we’ve pumped into the banks and corporations that caused the problem in the first place.

But the residential real estate market remains a mess, with 2.7 million foreclosures during 2011 alone, and many more to come. This has been an “unprecedented cycle,” says Walter Molony, spokesman for the National Association of Realtors. “We’ve never had this kind of mortgage market before, and it’s going to be at least another year or two before foreclosures stabilize.”  

And the crash has expanded well beyond the much-maligned subprime market. High unemployment following the financial meltdown has left previously rock-solid homeowners losing their homes to foreclosure in record numbers.

The Census Bureau estimates that, in 2011, there were 18.7 million houses standing empty, even as hundreds of thousands of people were homeless. The giant houses that were an ostentatious display of wealth are now millstones holding their owners underwater, worth far less than the debt owed on them. 

Experts speculate about when housing prices will return to previous levels. But why would that be a good thing? The previous levels were unrelated to real value. We were oversold, paying too much for houses that were much too big. 

It’s a perfect time to take a look at what it means to own a home, to make a home, to rent a home. This is an opportunity to take the best from the old ways of doing things, and from the new, and to define “home” in a way that doesn’t place unsustainable burdens on resources, both natural and fiscal.

Some of the solution lies in adjusting our expectations about what a household looks like and how much space we really need. Some of it lies in recognizing that, in a world where our energy use is destroying the climate, we have to change the way we put our houses together.

Home is where you stay

One thing we lost sight of during the bubble is that, traditionally, a home wasn’t a speculative investment. In fact, houses typically appreciated not much faster than a savings account. You bought a house as a form of security. Unlike renters, you didn’t face the possibility of having to move if the owner sold or lost the house to foreclosure. You could paint it the color you wanted, add rooms, knock out walls. You could turn the lawn into a garden or plant trees that took years to grow and bear fruit. Once you paid off the mortgage, you burned it — with ceremony and a sense of relief — and you didn’t refinance. 

When people bought houses and intended to stay, they made a commitment to the community. They made lasting connections with people and businesses. Once a house became something that you owned just long enough for the big cashout, those connections were lost.

Smaller is smarter

There’s a simple way to make a huge difference right away in both the environmental and financial impacts of housing. Unfortunately, in light of the “bigger is better” story that has become firmly entrenched in the American belief system, the simple solution is not the easy one. Plainly stated, it’s this: Small is beautiful.

It’s not a deep concept. Smaller houses cost less to build. It takes less furniture to fill them. They cost less to heat and cool. For existing homes, you can come close to cutting the environmental footprint in half just by doubling the number of people living in the space. Jason McLennan, who developed the Living Building Challenge, proposes that, regardless of green features, large houses simply cannot be environmentally sound. He says that, on average, 450 square feet per person is as big as we should go -— and smaller is better.

The modern trend, however, is exemplified by a radio ad campaign that ran about 10 years ago. The ads featured people shouting across distances, with lots of echo effect — they were in their gigantic living rooms. There was one in which a guy got lost in his huge house. That, the builder assured us, was what we should aspire to.

Asking Americans to crowd together is asking a lot, right? It’s asking us to return to some primitive state with people crammed cheek-by-jowl into hovels. 

That would be correct, so long as you consider 1950 to be a brutal and primitive time. There were a lot of things wrong in the ’50s that we don’t want to recapture. But living in small spaces was not something that people complained about. And here’s a fact: The average American now has about 961 square feet of space. That’s awfully close to the average size for an entire house in 1950, when we managed with 259 square feet per person.

Reversing the trend

Why, over the course of just 60 years, did we triple our living space? In part, because we could. Building materials were cheap. The energy to run a house was not too costly. For builders, whose main cost is labor, the profit margin on a big house is greater than on a small one. We slipped into a feedback loop, where builders pushed bigger houses and consumers, seeing what everyone else was buying, started demanding them. Once square footage became the key measure of value, banks were less interested in loans on small houses.

There are signs that the trend is reversing. The average size of a new house peaked in 2007 and has gone down since. But so far that only replicates what happened during past recessions — although the decrease is larger this time. The question is whether we return to the pattern of ever-increasing house size if the current recession ends for everyone, not just the rich.


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Comments:

Posted Thu, Jun 21, 8:42 a.m. Inappropriate

The author writes: "It wasn’t the buyers who made those claims about residential real estate — it was the people who were making the loans."


Well, the lenders were part of the chorus. There were certainly an abundance of "Free up your equity!" ads on the radio. But the spiraling hysteria was a social, not a banking, phenomenon. On television, programs like "This Old House" which taught people how to renovate their own homes, gave way to "Flip This House" which encouraged people to buy up homes, slap a coat of paint on them, and make boatloads of easy money, all in one weekend. The main banking-related problem in the panic that followed the bursting of the bubble was that banks which behaved recklessly weren't allowed to fold. "Too big to fail" suddenly became not a promise to stockholders, but an obligation foisted on the public.


That said, I'd like to extend my congratulations to the author for not employing the silly and vapid term "Great Recession" (the economic equivalent of "jumbo shrimp") to describe the recent panic.

dbreneman

Posted Thu, Jun 21, 1:59 p.m. Inappropriate

Let me be the first old timer to reminisce on the house I grew up in: about 900 sq. ft (maybe less), two brothers, two sisters, two parents and sometimes a hired man. I don't remember feeling crowded but we probably spent more time outdoors than people do now.

kieth

Posted Thu, Jun 21, 3:03 p.m. Inappropriate

Hey, that's great advice, delivered in that earnest tone that well-meaning liberals always have. The only problem is that you're addressing the wrong crowd. People didn't suddenly start demanding 2000 square foot houses. The builders, with the usual media hype assistance, started promoting them. Why? For the same reason that the automobile industry promoted big trucks and SUVs, despite there being no earthly reason they were necessary. It's a very simple economic concept: Profit per unit cost. Big houses, especially those shoddy McMansions that will start falling apart any time now, make more money per unit than small houses. Ask yourself: does a builder have to pay higher cost for empty space? No, and hell no. Ask any residential builder, and they will tell you they make much more profit on a large house than a small one, simply because the cost/price factor changes in the builder's favor as the house increases in size. It is analogous to auto makers realizing a bigger rate of profit on trucks and SUVs than on small cars.

So, great idea, small houses, no figure out how to make the normal market mechanism favor them, and they will get built. Or overide the market and impose rules or fees on builders to force them to cooperate.

TomB

Posted Thu, Jun 21, 8:15 p.m. Inappropriate

kieth - But I'll bet you didn't own one pair of shoes for walking, one for running, one for hiking, one for basketball, one for tennis, and so on. People now need room for all their stuff.

When the McMansions started coming on the market, I would look at them and wonder who's going to clean all those toilets and paint the cathedral ceilings and change the lightbulbs?

s_calvert

Posted Thu, Jun 21, 11:49 p.m. Inappropriate

"Salvage, slums and ruins" - the fate awaiting the McMansions according to James Kunstler. But, precious little other than perhaps a little copper to salvage from the stapled together particle board, and not much scope for subdividing into apartments like there was for sturdily built older mansions. They won't even make for interesting ruins, just some gypsum dust with some plastic junk scattered through it.

Nobody forced anyone to purchase those ridiculous ugly things and I have no desire to bail out anyone who bought or financed them. We used to have something called capitalism in this country, and "creative destruction" and failure were a part of it. What a shame that so many irreplaceable resources went into constructing the trappings of a way of life that will be of utterly no use to anyone in decades ahead.

Posted Fri, Jun 22, 12:29 a.m. Inappropriate

Please stop using "smarter" in Crosscut articles when referring to the choices that liberals want us to make

I do not want to live in a 900 square foot house and I just extended my house so that it has more than 450 square feet per resident and I do not feel guilty. It is how I chose to spend my hard earned money and it is probably more environmentally sound than many other options for spending it.

Posted Fri, Jun 22, 12:37 p.m. Inappropriate

A good and down-to-earth analysis, independant of any "liberal" slant too. Although I don't believe a 900 sq ft house is comfortable for more than two people, we definately need to move away from the status quo if we expect to maintain any semblance of a quality of life.

So, David Smith, would you feel better if those choices were called "sustainable" instead? Somehow I think you would think that condesending too. Don't worry, that space certainly won't be sustainable after you die, not matter your attitude, or how much you have left to pass on. Enjoy it while you can.

Marksp

Posted Mon, Jun 25, 9:08 a.m. Inappropriate

I do not find "sustainable" condescending but it is another buzzword used in an attempt to trump other arguments, however sensible.

My house is ~100 years old and with the new extension will last another 100 at least. I am sure they exist but I do not know of any single family homes in my neighborhood that have required substantial renovation within 10-20 years of being built or extended. The same cannot be said for all these "sustainable" condominiums that are springing up on every arterial.

My retired neighbors have a small house and recently invested in a Prius and are very proud of their low carbon footprint but they jet off twice per year for vacations in the far east or Pacific Islands which more than offsets all their carbon savings from living in a small house and driving a fuel efficient car. The bottom line is that if a big house causes one to spend more time at home and travel less, it is probably promoting a sustainable lifestyle.

Posted Wed, Jun 27, 1:50 p.m. Inappropriate

Nobody who knows what "sustainable" really refers to uses that term for those condos you refer to. I agree it's overused in marketing just like the term "green" or "natural." It is incumbent upon those who buy on the basis of that to check it out to see if it is, or not brag about it being something it is not. It is not used to "trump other aruguments" when it's used correctly. It's not that hard to learn the difference, but easier to make the assumptions you do.

Your house is sustainable. Your neighbors share of carbon emmissions for plane flights twice a year would seem than offset by the Prius if they drive the average 12K miles a year. Since we cannot completely eliminate carbon emmissions at present, reducing them is a step in the right direction, NOT a contradiction.

Marksp

Posted Fri, Jun 22, 2:09 p.m. Inappropriate

s-calvert, yes, the advent of the big box store and the giant shopping cart have been indicted as partly to blame for big houses. If you spend $400 at Costco you have to have space to put all your new stuff; it's definitely a contributor to housing flab. Garages store "stuff" and cars park in driveways in my neighborhood. It is a total societal malady.

kieth

Posted Fri, Jun 22, 3:17 p.m. Inappropriate

"It wasn’t the buyers who made those claims about residential real estate — it was the people who were making the loans."

Too simple. It was Fannie Mae, and congress, and two presidents, and the irresistable urge to meddle with markets. It was artificially low interest rates that sent hedge funds seeking higher secure returns. And it was buyers / investors who thought the music would never stop.

It was about greed and the assurance that Uncle Sam and Greenspan had our (their) backs. And sure enough, they did. Now it's about bailouts and keeping market prices high and punishing the prudential and rewarding the profligate.

I too like smaller homes--much easier to maintain, and they're snug, which I like. Still, to each his (or her!) own. Let the market decide.

Posted Fri, Jun 22, 7:13 p.m. Inappropriate

You are right about smaller homes. I grew up in a small row house. People didn't have yards or family rooms, but people paid taxes and the schools were good. Teachers weren't laid off. Nowadays people have a sense of entitlement about a large house and multiple cars, and then they whine about taxes. Perhaps if people bought an affordable house, they could afford the taxes. In Japan people live in smaller spaces, but they have national health care and college is affordable.

Clarify

Posted Sat, Jun 23, 9:07 p.m. Inappropriate

When taxes become so burdensome that they deny people their dreams, democracy is dead.

dbreneman

Posted Sun, Jun 24, 9:20 p.m. Inappropriate

That's exactly the point. Taxes facilitate, rather than deny, people's dreams. Through taxes people can go to school or see their children go to good schools. When people spend everything on McMansions and don't want to pay taxes, the schools suffer, there isn;t enough money left for college tuition, and the young can't fulfill their dreams.

Clarify

Posted Sat, Jun 23, 3:34 p.m. Inappropriate

Building smaller houses is not the answer. As long as Americans insist on living in single family homes with grass all around them, the urban sprawl will continue. This puts incredible pressure on our infrastructure and keeps us dependent on our cars. To have a significant impact on our housing, we need denser alternatives to single family houses. But I doubt that will happen unless gas prices get to $6/gallon. It will likely take a major crisis to get us to change our ways.

jd8686

Posted Sun, Jun 24, 8:18 a.m. Inappropriate

My question is: what would have happened if we had bailed out the people underwater instead of the banks? First, how much bailout would there have been? Enough to cover the difference between the prior and new housing prices? Would the fall in housing prices have been averted at some reasonable point? And the big question: what would prevent people, whose credit was then restored, from continuing to overspeculate? Bad decisions should not be rewarded!

However, I thought at the time and still think that would have been the better approach, rather than hand out money to the institutions that fueled the problem. Bastards!

So, do you think it could have worked?

pragmatic

Posted Sun, Jun 24, 7:23 p.m. Inappropriate

Maybe. It would have had to have been equitable. Simply handing out money to those who foolishly bought starter castles (rewarding idiocy) while those who were responsible enough not to go into debt wildly would never fly. Maybe give the same amount of money to everyone, if you have an underwater house it has to go to paying it off, while if you were smart enough not to have an underwater house, you keep the money?

But then, why not just print up and give everyone a million dollars and we'd all be millionaires? No one would have to work anymore. Seems simple to me. Why hasn't this been done?

Posted Sun, Jun 24, 9:29 p.m. Inappropriate

Well, it depends on how the program is structured. If the problem was the interest rate increasing on an adjustable rate mortgage, converting the to a 30-year fixed rate would have made things more stable.

So what if a house is worth less than the original house. If the owner is making the payments, the owner still has the house to live in. The situation of being "underwater" really matters the most if someone is trying to flip the house. The minute you walk out of a dealership, a new car is worth less than what you paid for it. But you aren't buying the car like stocks, you are buying the car for transportation.

The goal is to allow pwoplw to stay in whatever home they live in, to avoid the chaos of having masses of people left without a place to live. Having all these empty houses with the lawns overgrown by weeds is not in the interest of the community.

Clarify

Posted Mon, Jun 25, 10:10 p.m. Inappropriate

Exactly, "if the owner is making payments, he has the house". That means he doesn't default, which was a major cause of the whole collapse. That is, once a bank is trying to sell a house under market price, all the other house prices need to come down, and so on.

Right, you can't simply dole out money to those buying starter castles. I don't claim to have an answer and, I'll admit, that the bureocracy to do it right might destroy the whole approach.

Is this still relevant? Could be. Depends largly, I think, on what happens in the eurozone. If we have a second downturn (I'll stay away form collapse), I don't want to see the billionaires bailed out again and folks like you and me suffering.

pragmatic

Posted Mon, Jun 25, 6:11 p.m. Inappropriate

This is one of Crosscut commenters' better discourses. My thanks to the contributors.

afreeman

Posted Thu, Jun 28, 8:16 p.m. Inappropriate

The theme of Crosscut articles and majority of commenters continues the trend of the last 25 years where everyone is in each others business, and snidely offering opinions and labels such as McMansions.

No wonder we endure Nannyism from our own State electeds and policy makers. We can't even allow our neighbors to live as they see fit.

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