No road map for Republican Party to rebuild itself

Romney has lost any identity, thanks to having to cater to the GOP's out-of-date positions in the primary season. But how will the party move forward?


Gage Skidmore

On ABC’s Sunday news program, This Week, George Will showed the exasperation that is fast becoming the norm in the Republican Party. He said that if the Republicans can’t win the White House in the current economic environment, they should get out of the business. He was, of course, talking about Mitt Romney. But the problems with the party are not Romney’s alone. The party is at risk of being a regional party and losing many national elections in the years to come.

Here’s why, and why it is bad for America.

First, for American democracy to function, we need two strong parties — maybe even a third. Unfortunately, we are at a place where each party thinks they are one election away from hegemony. But James Madison did a very fine job of making the work of government difficult indeed. Protection of the minority, balance of power, and the constant tension of federalism and states’ rights ensure tough sledding for whoever has the edge. One party rule would be a terrible thing and, thankfully, very difficult as well. Even a regional party can put sticks in the spokes.

Second, the Republican Party suffers from the same ideological trap that the Democrats experienced in the 1970s and '80s. Just as the American people saw Ronald Reagan as a change agent and the Democrats as defenders of a status quo, so too, the Republicans of today seem to be fighting battles they have already lost.

Examples abound. Not so long ago, Karl Rove used the “specter” of gay marriage to get George W. Bush re-elected. Today? Forget it. It won’t work. Times are changing and people are remembering.

Immigration was once the classic wedge issue for Republican candidates. California Gov. Pete Wilson used Proposition 187 in the early '90s to win re-election. He and his supporters ran ads showing Mexicans running across the border with a scary voice intoning: “They keep coming!” Wilson was re-elected but Latinos were lost as Republican voters for a generation. And Marco Rubio aside, they show little interest in appealing to them.

Romney can’t bring himself to endorse even the idea of the Dream Act. During the Republican primary season, there was a competition to see who could build the biggest, most electrified border fence and deport the most people.

On health care, Romney demonizes the Affordable Care Act and says he’ll repeal it first chance he gets. But now, polling shows people like it, so he says he may keep some of it. Well, he should know what’s in it since it’s basically what he passed in Massachusetts.

Republicans also seem intent on alienating women voters, something at which they excel. On Feb. 16 they actually held a congressional hearing on insurance coverage for birth control with an all-male panel. Couple that with the recent “legitimate rape” comment by their candidate for the U.S. Senate in Missouri, and you have a problem that even Ann Romney yelling “I love you women!” can’t solve.

The list could go on and on.

In the early '90s, when the Democrats hadn’t been in the White House since the '70s, along came a governor from a small state in the south with some ideas on how to remake the Democratic Party into a national party again. Bill Clinton believed that Democrats needed to be more open to change and have a bigger tent. Through his work with the Democratic Leadership Council, he endeavored to bring the party to the center. He believed there was room for pro-trade Democrats in the party and that reforming government was not anti-government.

Clinton annoyed a lot of Democrats. His vice president, Al Gore, famously debated Ross Perot on the North American Free Trade Agreement and made the case that it would eventually benefit all three countries, the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade was also a milestone that went counter to much of the party’s established constituencies. The Clinton-Gore reinventing government campaign and welfare reform showed that Clinton could work across party lines, reform government, and was open to new ideas.

He knew how to work with Republicans. Being from Arkansas really didn’t give him much of a choice. And much as the Republicans try to portray President Obama as an old-time big spending liberal, he just isn’t. He, like Clinton, is at heart a pragmatist.

And that brings us back to the Republican Party. Who will bring them back to the center? How can they demonstrate that theirs’ is a party of the future and of inclusion? George W. Bush tried with his brand, “compassionate conservatism,” which leads one to wonder if most conservatives are not compassionate? The younger Bush also tried to reach out to Latino voters with some success.

But his brand was not on display at the Republican National Convention. In fact, it seemed that the party wanted you to think he had never been president at all — banking on a sort of mass amnesia.

The sad thing is that the Massachusetts governor version of Mitt Romney could probably provide a worthwhile debate and choice. But he was killed off in the Republican primary. The current Romney cannot win and will not contribute anything that will withstand the test of time. As the weeks wear on, he will search for his identity much like Al Gore tested clothing choices. He will try for authenticity in the same way John Kerry pretended to like NASCAR. And in the end, in the words of George Will, he will have to get out of the business.

The question still stands: Who will make the Republican Party a national party again? Or will they be content to shove sticks in the spokes and complain that nothing gets done?


About the Author

Jordan Royer currently works for the Pacific Merchant Shipping Association, which represents marine terminal operators and container vessels that serve the West Coast. He previously worked on public safety issues in the Paul Schell and Greg Nickels mayoral administrations. He was a candidate for Seattle City Council in 2009. You can reach him in care of editor@crosscut.com.

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Comments:

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 8:47 a.m. Inappropriate

You write:
Republicans try to portray President Obama as an old-time big spending liberal, he just isn’t. He, like Clinton, is at heart a pragmatist.

Not too hard to "try" and portray the Prez as a big spending liberal.

He is.

Some truths are self evident, and to steal a line, I know Bill Clinton, and you, Mr. President, t'aint no Bill Clinton.

The Geezer has spaketh

Geezer

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 9:14 a.m. Inappropriate

"Become a national party again?"

The Republican Party controls a majority of state legislatures, a majority of Governorships, a majority in the US House, and is poised to win the US Senate.

Republicans struggle on the west coast and the northeast, other than that we are America's majority party.

Which is part of the problem for Washington State Republicans. Our national message doesn't sell here, but if you were running the GOP would you change a message that is winning in most of America?

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 5:40 p.m. Inappropriate

" but if you were running the GOP would you change a message that is winning in most of America?"

If my loyalty was to the GOP and I viewed politics as a short-term game to be won at all costs, even if it was bad for the US, perhaps not. If my primary goal was to solve the long-term problems of US and ensure the long term supremacy of my party in the process then absolutely yes. Populism and propagating ignorance are often very effective in the short term but hopefully not in the long term.

Posted Thu, Sep 13, 5:36 p.m. Inappropriate

b

Goforride

Posted Thu, Sep 13, 5:39 p.m. Inappropriate

"Other than that." That's like "Other than that, how was the play, Mrs. Lincoln?"

The GOP controls the states that pretty well top all the lists in things nobody wants to be on the top of: poverty, education, illegitimate births, and on and on.

Chris, tell ya what. If the Red States stop accepting net tax transfers from the Blue States, then we'll talk. If the Red States start showing that their way of doing things turns them into the rich states (and don't count oil dropping oozing out of the ground), then we'll talk.

If the Red States can stop bribing foreign companies to locate there with massive tax subsidies, then we'll talk.

The Red States are slowing sinking into a Third World morass, kept afloat only by the labor of those in the Blue States.

Goforride

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 9:27 a.m. Inappropriate

I am more confident each day that Barack Obama will be reelected in November. As days go forward and this country continues to become more diverse, the Republican Party will continue to marginalize itself unless it accepts change. We cannot go back to the days when only whites - mostly males - ran the show.

m-t-e

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 9:30 a.m. Inappropriate

Why should the Republican Party change? They think they are winning. And outside Seattle and cities like Seattle, they are winning.

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 3:26 p.m. Inappropriate

When I last checked the Iowa Electronic Market gives our Democratic President a 70% chance of being reelected. That is not winning in my books or are the Republicans happy to cede control of the White House if they can control the other two branches of government?

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 9:31 a.m. Inappropriate

Bill Clinton reinvented the Democratic Party as a center-left institution in reaction to the Reagan years. It worked. Barack Obama smashed Clinton's Democratic Party, the party that offered that "The era of big government is over," to pieces four years ago. Obama's Democrats are the social democrats of Europe. A radicalized Democratic party to some extent breeds a reactive radicalization of the Republican party. After all, as Goldwater said, "..." ...well, we all know the quote of moderation vis-a-vis extremism.


One example of the radical turn of the Democrats, as mentioned by the author, is the strange notion that birth control is a civil right. Pregnancy is not a disease, and it is only rarely a medical emergency, so it's hard to understand why a package of birth control pills, available for ten bucks (about the cost of a large bottle of ibuprofen) should be paid for as a right by the taxpayers. If that's the case, then maybe men should demand that the cost of dinner and Viagra be picked up by the taxpayers as well. It would be, literally, the "free love" promised by the counter-culture of the 1960s.

dbreneman

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 11:08 a.m. Inappropriate

"And that brings us back to the Republican Party. Who will bring them back to the center? How can they demonstrate that theirs’ is a party of the future and of inclusion?"

The premises here are incorrect. The writer assumes that some single charismatic figure can lead the Republican sheep back into the mainstream pasture. But elected Republican leaders who have even hinted circumspectly at the possibility of centrist accommodation have been unceremoniously thrown out of office, usually via a primary election challenge from the far right. You can't lead people where they don't want to go. And who imagines that the modern-day GOP wants to be "a party of the future and of inclusion"? This is precisely what the Republican core does not want to be.

These are difficult times, and not likely to get much better soon. Environmental degradation exists on every front, resources are running out, and the stresses of overpopulation and poverty express themselves everywhere as anger and fanaticism. But a large, mostly older segment of the American population doesn't want to see any of these things -- they disturb the opulent consumerist vision of the good life and suggest a need for restraint and perhaps even sacrifice. Right-wingers love to talk about their glorious patriotism, but in reality they prefer existences of private self-indulgence where the unseemly suffering of their fellow citizens is kept hidden out of sight.

The Republican Party caters to this mind-set. It is the party of denial, where with a quick flip of the electoral switch it's back to the 50s again -- big tail fins on cars, gas at 30 cents a gallon, nothing but smiling white faces pushing shopping carts through the supermarket. Nobody really likes Romney, but his strong suit is that he looks like he just stepped off the set of "Leave it to Beaver."

It's not much, but it may be enough to win one last election, if all the old white folks show up en masse, the kids stone out and enough people of color are turned away from the voting booth. And if, of course, you steadfastly avoid discussing the messy and inconvenient policy details. It is surely a cynical strategy, and one that offers little prospect of long-term electoral viability, but it is calculated and deliberate. The content may be irrational, but the strategy is not. The Republican Party is positioned exactly where it wants to be.

woofer

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 11:15 p.m. Inappropriate

One effective and pragmatic Republican President could move them back to the center by working with both parties in Congress on sensible conservative solutions to our national problems. In doing so he or she would likely attract many more moderates to the party and even though the right wing might not like it, they would probably not be so suicidal as to oppose the renomination of a popular president. Ironically Mitt Romney has the background to be just that president if given a chance or at least that is what many radical Republicans fear.

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 7:35 p.m. Inappropriate

Mr. Vance has a point. This piece should have focused more on the collapse of the Republican Party in Washington State, which is down to its last two rising stars in Reagan Dunn and Rob McKenna. It's likely that both will lose their races for statewide office in November, while it's a lock that Michael Baumgartner will stunt his career growth with an embarassingly large loss to Cantwell. Lacking candidates of statewide stature, the Rs face a gloomy future here in the other Washington, but they're not that bad off nationally.

Mannix

Posted Wed, Sep 12, 8:16 p.m. Inappropriate

It looks better on the map to win Wyoming than Massachusetts, but the party that wins Massachusetts actually has the majority.

If you think people instead of square miles, the Republican party is in rapid decay. Not just locally, but nationally.

And I don't think that even Chris Vance is proud to be a member of the party of anti-science.

coolpapa

Posted Thu, Sep 13, 10:32 a.m. Inappropriate

At the present moment, the two parties are mostly evenly matched. Republicans will probably retain control of the House next year, and they still have realistic chances at the Senate and White House. The situation is still unlike that of, say, the years between the Civil War and the Great Depression, during which the only chance Democrats had to compete nationally was when if the Republicans were divided (as in 1912) or made themselves unpopular through overreach (as in 1890).

But Republicans leaders must be nervous when they think about the long-term demographic changes that are occurring. Unless the GOP makes some serious headway into minority communities and large cities, then in a decade's time, they will indeed become a regional party. That will require purging the unseemly elements from the party. They did it in the 1950s by purging the antisemites; today I think they can get rid of the nativists if they realize that they have to.

Posted Sat, Sep 15, 11:50 a.m. Inappropriate

Chris Vance seems to be in denial like most White Republican males with comments like this... "Why should the Republican Party change? They think they are winning. And outside Seattle and cities like Seattle, they are winning."

With a party this is anti-woman, anti-gay, anti-health care, anti-senior citizen, anti-student, it's on a matter of time before the state control that Vance speaks of collapses. In many races, the Republican candidates are able to outspend their Democratic opponents by 7-to-1 or more and win. But this even more clearly illustrates the problem that Vance refuses to acknowledge.

Namely, the Republican party is dying, supported only by propaganda, expensive corporate money and bogus Voter ID laws that will suppress the vote in their favor... temporarily.

Posted Wed, Sep 19, 8:08 a.m. Inappropriate

The voter i.d. laws do look like the desperate act of a party that is apparently giving up on winning fairly.

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