The Washington Legislature's efforts to find an extra $2 billion per biennia to fix the state's schools will run smack into the requirement for a two-thirds majority on votes to raise taxes .
Almost always, the House and Senate Republicans — who control more than one-third of the votes in each chamber — block Democrat efforts to raise taxes.
Both sides strongly hinted Wednesday that this impasse will likely surface again in January when the Legislature tries to deal with a Washington Supreme Court ruling that the state is not adequately meeting its constitutional obligation to sufficiently fund basic education. A legislative task force met in Federal Way to eventually recommend how the full Legislature should meet that obligation. The task force will meet again Nov. 20 to present specific proposals with plans to make recommendations in December. Meanwhile, the state Supreme Court is now mulling whether the two-thirds-majority requirement is constitutional.
Task force members include the ranking Democrat and Republican of the House Ways and Means Committee — Rep. Ross Hunter, D-Medina, and Rep. Gary Alexander, R-Olympia.
Hunter doubted the votes exist to find the extra $2 billion solely through budget cuts. Alexander doubted the votes exist to approve a tax hike to help find the extra $2 billion. Both plan to submit all-budget-cuts scenarios on Nov. 20 to show what they would look like. Hunter also plans to look at tax-hike scenarios. Alexander wants to look at ways to boost the economy so the state can collect more money for education.
A major problem is that the overall shortfall is much bigger than $2 billion for education every two years.
First, the Legislature is already facing a roughly $1 billion shortfall in the upcoming January session outside of the Supreme Court's education requirements.The House and Senate financial staffs calculated that the Supreme Court's ruling will require an extra $2.1 billion in cuts and new revenue in 2013-2015, $2.8 billion for 2015-2017, and $2.1 billion for 2017-2019. And those numbers assume absolutely no growth between now and 2019 in all of the state non-education programs.
The bottom line: In January, the Legislature will probably start working on the 2013-2015 budget with a $3.1 billion shortfall.
Most task force members believe that they cannot tackle solely the education budget shortfalls without also considering the overall red ink — noting that education and non-education budgets will be seeking money from the same sources. "You can't look at education in a vacuum," Bob Cooper, lobbyist for the National Association of Social Workers, told the task force.
The task force will look at where the overall budget can be cut to provide more money to education.
The 2013-2015 state operating budget is predicted to be roughly $33.3 billion with no growth in non-education programs, compared to $31.2 billion — including $13.65 billion for K-12 edcuation — in 2011-2013.
The Senate and House finance staffs identified numerous potential cuts in education programs not covered by the Supreme Court ruling, higher education, corrections, health and human services. Most of those individual cuts would save tiny amounts when compared to a $3.1 billion shortfall.
One big potential cut could be $605 million by eliminating the state's education levy equalization program, an idea has never gained traction in the Legislatures. The program helps districts with lower property tax revenues; those districts are often in struggling communities. Other potential areas to cut are up to $1.04 billion for four-year universities in 2013-2015, up to $1.178 billion for community colleges and technical schools, and up to $665 million for financial aid to students in higher education. Such cuts to higher education would have to buck families already facing skyrocketing tuition costs and a business community fretting about Washington students being shut out of state schools.
"You can cut maybe a couple hundred million dollars out of our base budget," Hunter speculated.
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