Seattle mayoral hunger games: The issues that will make a difference
What's the city's transit future? Can we promote neighborhoods and downtown development at the same time? The next mayor better have answers.
Chris Moore
As candidates for Seattle mayor step forward, it is worthwhile to think about some of the issues that will dominate the debate in 2013. The way these issues break often provides the direction and opportunities for candidates. In a one-party town, it is often the only way for candidates to differentiate themselves from the pack.
This was obvious in 2009, the last time we elected a mayor.
Then, the Alaskan Way Viaduct replacement tunnel overshadowed all other issues. But there was also the potential of a new jail being built in Seattle, and what to do about Seattle’s schools. There was the “living wage ordinance” ordinance, supported by the King County Labor Council, hiring more cops, those darned strategic advisors in City Hall, and of course, the incumbent two-term Mayor Greg Nickels.
But the issue that resonated most was the one that Mike McGinn and a city council candidate, Mike O’Brien, expertly used to differentiate themselves from the crowd and eventually gain office — the tunnel. Candidate McGinn sent endless barrages of robo-calls to Seattleites in a push-poll format attacking the project. Once through the primary, however, he famously recanted his opposition to the project and said he would not stand in the way (sort of like Reagan convincing a nervous electorate that he wouldn’t blow up the world after making it through the primary in 1980).
We all know the tunnel history since then.
But now we have a new set of issues that will align interests in confounding ways. Because Seattle is a Democratic town, individual issues and relationships frequently provide the distinctions between candidates, making for a multi-polar kind of affair. This one will be no different.
And that is why issues are so important.
Consider the debate about the NBA Arena in SODO, or the zoning changes contemplated in South Lake Union. How about our police department and the nearly million dollars a year it will cost taxpayers for the U.S. Department of Justice's overseers? Will the streetcar financing be a lightning rod for people who believe buses are more efficient and move more people? How about property taxes? Are Seattleites reaching a breaking point with the parade of levies we see every year? Remember, the school district will have levies of close to a billion dollars in 2013.
So far, the declared (and semi-declared) candidates are, in no particular order, Councilman Tim Burgess, State Sen. Ed Murray, former Councilman Peter Steinbrueck, real estate developer Charlie Staadecker, small business owner Albert Shen, and incumbent Mayor Mike McGinn. Former King County Executive Ron Sims and Seattle Port Commissioner Bill Bryant are also "maybes." My best guess is that there will be a few more candidates who will jump in before January is over.
It is also inevitable that candidates will look to be the champion of the neighborhoods versus the establishment and the developers.
Yes, sports fans, we are in for another round of the classic neighborhoods versus downtown affair. But don’t look so surprised. Seattle and probably every city on earth, has the same dynamic.
Downtown is the economic engine of the city, political and economic power flows there with the force of sheer gravity. Once in power, politicians know they must focus on making sure the engine runs smoothly so they can use revenues to fund services throughout the city.
Outside the downtown core, out in the neighborhoods, people see their government officials spending too much time with moneyed interests, while inaccessible and distant to their needs and aspirations. How common it is to hear people say: “He was really supportive of the neighborhoods until he got elected. Now, he just cares about the developers and Paul Allen.”
This is how the relationship between the mayor, Seattle City Council, and Paul Allen’s development group, Vulcan, is seen today. Mayor Nickels was tagged similarly — all mayors are.
But here’s the problem for McGinn, and to a lesser degree, Tim Burgess: The focus on the downtown and South Lake Union may be the right thing to do, and the support for those efforts may bring money and endorsements in 2013. But they do not bring votes.
The money is downtown but the votes are in the neighborhoods; particularly north of the Ship Canal. This is why understanding how the issues play there is so important. Last time, McGinn’s robocall polls revealed a deep rift between downtown and the neighborhoods on the tunnel proposal. He used it. Now he is promoting the South Lake Union rezone and the new NBA arena. How times change.
Because of this neighborhood-downtown dialectic, it is very difficult for mayors to win many terms and harder still for council members to become mayors. Norm Rice did it after two tries, but nobody else has.
In 2013, watch for a candidate to try and thread the needle, bring together a vision of the neighborhoods and downtown and describe how we as a city can grow and prosper while not losing our soul. It’s a worthwhile question to ask, and a candidate who wants to be mayor had better have an answer.
Disclosure: The author plans to support Ed Murray for mayor.
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Comments:
Posted Wed, Dec 12, 2:57 p.m. Inappropriate
Another very insightful article and well written. Let us hope that the Mayoral candidates will take notice of this good advice.
Posted Wed, Dec 12, 10:11 p.m. Inappropriate
Jordan, though you may not have intended to, you make yet another argument for electing city council members by district.
Posted Fri, Dec 14, 3:45 a.m. Inappropriate
No, Districts reduce the power of a citizens vote. The Developers and downtown monied interests all love the district idea, I bet.
Posted Fri, Dec 14, 9:03 a.m. Inappropriate
Absolutely 1000% historically incorrect - developers and downtown interests led both of the campaigns that successfully defeated the last two attempts to create Council districts in Seattle.
Back when there were discussion of trying again with a 6-3 mixed system after the initiative was defeated in 1995, one prominent district supporter I spoke to pooh-poohed the idea, saying "why give downtown 3 seats?"
She was right then, and she's still right now.
Posted Sun, Dec 16, 4:42 p.m. Inappropriate
Districts make it cheaper for wealthy interests to buy politicians. Districts reduce a citizens vote for city council from 9 votes, to one vote, or with the recent plan, 9 votes to 3 votes. I would rather vote for all 9 council seats. The district plans disenfranchise citizens. It is cheaper to buy an election with districts. So what makes you think that wealthy interests would not purchase the district candidates?
Posted Wed, Dec 12, 10:23 p.m. Inappropriate
"Once in power, politicians know they must focus on making sure the [downtown economic] engine runs smoothly so they can use revenues to fund services throughout the city."
This conclusion assumes that the downtown oligarchs must be appeased or the engine will stop working. This is a false assumption. Good examples are Seattle's neighborhood planning and empowerment in the 90s and San Francisco's gradual shift in political power toward neighborhoods and progressives (see http://www2.ucsc.edu/whorulesamerica/local/san_francisco.html).
In neither case did the power shifts result in a decline in quality of life. To the contrary!
Posted Thu, Dec 13, 10:28 a.m. Inappropriate
Seattle's "neighborhood planning and empowerment in the '90s" was a complete sham. It was nothing more than a cynical exercise in co-optation, to be ignored by city hall whenever a billionaire waddles into the room with a suitcase full of cash.
Anyone who ever becomes involved with the city on anything is a fool. The city council is corrupt, and so is every mayor. Seattle has the best city government money can buy. The only difference between this city and Chicago is that Chicagoans at least talk about the corruption.
Posted Sat, Dec 15, 5:48 p.m. Inappropriate
Why even talk about it, then, Notfan? Shouldn't we consider you a fool for doing so?
Posted Wed, Dec 12, 11:05 p.m. Inappropriate
I hope the camgaign discusses issues, as there are plenty. In transport, pavement management and sidewalks are major, pratical, and common sense needs that get too little attention. Implementing the pedestrian master plan requires a major fiscal lift and a variety of funding mechanicisms (e.g., drainage fees, LID, gas tax). Bridging the Gap was approved in 2006; the next mayor will help design its extension in 2015. I hope Seattle puts their streetcar desires to bed as unaffordable or at least has a rational discussion about them in the context of all its other transport needs. I hope Seattle helps convince King County to ask voters to approve the local option gas tax; the county all its cities need basic maintenance funding and the gas tax is the most fair and efficient to raise those funds. I hope Seattle becomes an advocate for systemwide variable tolling; it would improve flow for all modes and raise funds needed to restore I-5 pavement; Executive Sims almost did that in his last term. In other areas, Seattle has under funded operations and maintenance: libraries, community centers, and parks. Could the candidates discuss the basics? Seattle and the other cities and the counties need excellent relations with the Legislature; the locals need help; the state needs to overcome its outdated highway building approach; the State Senate mess will not help. I hope the candiates discuss how well they will get along with the council and the state, but will be tough when needed.
Posted Thu, Dec 13, 5:43 p.m. Inappropriate
Seattle's city government has plenty of money. After all, they can afford to give the vast majority of the $350 million for a new basketball court to a California billionaire and his bondholders. And whenever McGinn needs to find a few million to "study" one of his favorite boondoggles, he never seems to have much trouble doing so.
I see no reason to vote for any levies of any kind. Seattle's city hall is obviously swimming in an ocean full of cash.
Posted Fri, Dec 14, 4:07 a.m. Inappropriate
Systemwide variable tolling is abusive of the citizenry; and nothing but class warfare.
If the idea is to "improve flow", then why not start "access rationing", that way even the wealthy individuals that you seem to think the roads were built for, would have their use of the road reduced the same as any other citizen. The way it would work is that all citizens with a drivers license would get a set amount of time per month that they could be on the road. A billionaire would get the same set time as someone on welfare. This would reduce congestion and "improve flow" and would not be class warfare. I am for neither systemwide tolling or access rationing; but it interests me that the more equitable rationing is never proposed by the so-called progressives. No it is always about carrying water for the wealthy, and sticking it to the non-wealthy with the progressives. Systemwide variable tolling is a proposal of class warfare. If systemwid variable tolling is ever imposed, some wealthy people and progressives need to get their butts severely beaten.
Funny, the ration x by price crowd never seems to want straight up equal rationing. The idea seems to be "Me and my wealthy friends have plenty of money for tolls, so it would be a nicer driving experience for me and my wealthy friens if all the riff raff were tolled off the road". See, a wealthy person driving on a road is not congestion, only a non-wealthy person driving on a road is congestion. Stuff systemwide variable tolling.
Posted Fri, Dec 14, 9:05 a.m. Inappropriate
Oh, and just to balance things out, I agree with you 100% on the proposed 3rd (3rd!) stadium and the elitism of toll proposals.
Posted Fri, Dec 14, 4:12 a.m. Inappropriate
I will vote for the candidate who will stop the arena. It is a simple choice for me. I will wait for the candidate who says straight out that he will work to stop the arena, and I will assist, and vote for that candidate. So, scratch Mcginn, scratch Burgess at the start. I will see what the others say. The arena is the big issue for me as it has many aspects of corruption and is a good test of the trustworthiness of a candidate.
Posted Fri, Dec 14, 11:26 a.m. Inappropriate
Sorry, but the arena is a done deal. I can say this much: I will never vote for another levy for any reason. There is no shortage of government funds here.
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