That mysterious Obama-Rossi-voting suburbanite
I've been getting hammered in the comments of Monday's edition of the Sausage Links, where I asserted that some Barack Obama "change" voters may also be inclined to vote for Republican gubernatorial candidate Dino Rossi. Where's the beef? Readers wondered. One reader ventured to call my story "dinner table speculation." Well, Seattle Times columnist Lynne Varner has apparently also discovered the dinner table, as her latest column details a recent meal she shared with a dozen women who — are you ready for this? — say they're voting for Obama and Rossi.
"The suburbs and exurbs will predict our near future," Varner writes, and the "static wages, job losses and home foreclosures have dimmed the lightness of suburban living. ... Voters rightly want change." But is Rossi an agent of change or of only real estate? It's up to the suburbs to decide, says Times columnist Danny Westneat, who wrote earlier this month that "there's something about Gregoire that doesn't feel like it's connecting in the political "swingtowns" of suburban King and Pierce counties. Or maybe something about Rossi that is."
It seems the editorial board at the Seattle Post-Intelligencer also wonders whether "change" voters will run with an Obama-Rossi split ticket. In a recent editorial, they warned voters that a state with Gregoire at the helm would benefit more from an Obama administration than a Washington led by Rossi.
I'm not taking sides. I'm simply pointing out that this is a "change" year. And Rossi is attempting to use it to his advantage. Whether Obama-Rossi voters will tip the scales, however, remains to seen.
According to state pollster Stuart Elway, they won't. His latest poll shows Gregoire with a comfortable 51 percent to 39 percent lead over Rossi. As for probable voters who support Obama for president and Rossi for governor, Elway reports "Rossi had the support of 8 percent of the Obama voters surveyed, while Gregoire had the same proportion of McCain voters," making split-ticket voters a non-issue.
Conservative pundits, however, have a tradition of finding Elway's polls laughable, and with some reason. Elway's preview poll of the Aug. 19 primary showed Gregoire with a 16-point lead over Rossi. But the final results showed the Democratic governor ahead of Rossi by less than 2 percent. Other polls have consistently said the race is tied, with some suggesting Rossi is leading by a slim margin.
Still, the Elway poll is good news for Gregoire, who has endured something a red scare in recent weeks. While the poll may not represent Gregoire's actual margin over Rossi, it does suggest she could be bouncing back — a Dora the Explorer comeback, perhaps? — meaning Obama-Rossi suburbanite voters might not matter on Election Day. We're 13 days from finding out. Don't forget: that's a long, long time. I haven't even decided what I'm wearing for Halloween. Voting is like, totally, a way bigger deal.









Comments:
Posted Wed, Oct 22, 8:35 p.m. inappropriate
The Obama-Rossi voter is very real here east of Lake Washington. My wife and my mother-in-law are exhibits A and B.
Posted Wed, Oct 22, 10:32 p.m. inappropriate
Just to let you know I am one of those mysterious Obama-Rossi voters. But I live in the heart of Seattle, not in suburbia.
So why then am I voting this way?
First let me get one thing straight. I don't like either gubernatorial candidates---really at all.
They are both ridiculous and after watching one of their debates in which they didn't discuss the issues at all, I had a hard time deciding which one I would put a check next to. (Don't even get me started about their campaign ads.)
To make things easier on myself, I visited both candidate's sites and decided to focused on one issue that I believe needs to be addressed: the economy and Washington State's frighteningly large deficit of $3.2 billion.
Dino Rossi should be elected governor if not only for his promises to keep the state budget under control, but for his fiscally responsible track record in the Senate.
Christine, or excuse me, Chris Gregoire has proven to be a spend-happy gal in Olympia. I know she's promised to change, but I don't know if I can believe it. So I'm doing something quite radical and voting GOP. I know Dino is confused about global warming but I think the Democrat Legislature can handle that.
For now I want our economy taken care of--so I chose Rossi.
And Obama--well I don't even need to explain myself there. With a shrinking middle class, he seems the only viable option.
So yeah, I want change. And it doesn't seem like a coincidence that both the candidates I voted for are promoting that.