Several times each year I drive between Seattle and north-central Arizona, shunning the interstates wherever possible and passing through small- and medium-sized towns in Oregon, Idaho, northern California, Nevada, and sometimes Utah.
You can see the signs in these towns of past struggles lost and won — of long-closed mining sites, dark downtown theaters, spruced-up historic restorations, small downtown parks and squares, and new school buildings and gymnasiums. Near national holidays, their main streets typically are covered in red, white, and blue bunting. Stores and homes display American flags. Grocery store signs announce the starting times of local parades.
A January trip through these towns was demoralizing. Since my last time through, I found Tru-Value stores, corner service stations, local variety stores, and neighborhood restaurants newly shuttered. One of personal favorites, a Black Bear in Alturas, California, was empty and up for sale. There were few start-up signs in evidence.
Local lunch-counter talk along my route centered around the anticipated efforts of the new Obama administration to seize guns and ammunition from the hunters, farmers, and ranchers in the area. (In northern Arizona, a local Wal-Mart reportedly had sold out its weapons and ammunition stocks several times over). Local newspapers along the way headlined state and local budget cuts, job losses, and, especially in southern Nevada and northern Arizona, concern about crime and social-service burdens associated with illegal immigrants. The new conservative governor of Arizona, replacing the newly named someland Security Secretary Janet Napolitano, had announced big cutbacks in public-education and social-service funds, as well as in the liberal state attorney general's budget.
Many of these communities have been fighting the tide in the best of times. Now they are teetering or over the edge. The families who live there really have only two options: To stay and tough it out or to start new lives elsewhere.
Small-business failures and job losses, so evident in main-street towns, are less visible in big metro areas, but they are there nonetheless, reflected in month-to-month economic and employment data. They are here in Seattle, in greater number than we suspect, and are certain to increase in the months ahead. We are nowhere near Grapes of Wrath or Hooverville times, but we will be tested more greatly than at any time since World War II.
From our freeways we see skylines, shopping centers, suburban tracts, harbor and lake traffic. Only a short distance off those busy arteries there is growing stress and poverty no less real than in the sad places and brave people on my travel route.
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Comments:
Posted Sun, Feb 1, 3:30 p.m. Inappropriate
Ted,
Worst times since WWII? Are you saying worse than 1971? What a naive premise.
Those small towns have lived through more hard periods than they can count. And they will have plenty more.
Seattle's economy has been relatively unscathed for almost 40 years because of lessons learned in '69-'74.
We may or may not build a tunnel under Alaskan Way in the next 10 years. Does the RH Thumpson Expressway ring any bells?
Posted Sun, Feb 1, 8:55 p.m. Inappropriate
Hey, lay off Ted, he's a royal pain for a good reason: The full story is right there on today's Clicker (see Jeff Jarvis, HuffingtonPost)
" it shouldn't be declarations of doom that should dominate front pages. It should be questions: How can these companies be this profitable? What is the impact of this much leverage? How can people without income get loans? It the constant poking and prodding we need.
That requires the willingness to be a pain in the ass. We journalists used to pride ourselves on being pains in the asses -- or just asses...."
Posted Mon, Feb 2, 7:20 a.m. Inappropriate
Spud will need to watch things unfold in coming months. Seattle is not "unscathed" because of lessons learned in 1969-74 but because, in part, it has benefited from a convergence of fortunate circumstances, including the emergence of Microsoft and related enterprises. Big layoffs at major local employers, and some outright business failures, will be felt through 2009 and 2010, if not beyond.
Do not know how an Alaskan Way tunnel or Thompson Expressway relate to
any of this. Fact is, the United States has had a financial shock, now being followed by economic after-shocks, which have put us in a situation more serious than anything in the post-WW II period. The closures of small-town-West hardware stores, auto dealerships, variety stores, local-landmark restaurants, and other businesses are big blows to communities which have limited economic bases. Not to be sloughed off.
Posted Mon, Feb 2, 11:10 a.m. Inappropriate
Good thing you didn't drive through downtown San Bernadino. An empty ten story hotel, a "mall" that could function as a fortified enclave, a daytime occupation force of public employees and NO restaurants (in downtown!!). I had to eat breakfast at a Jack in the Box. They do a passable job of controlling graphiti but it must take an army.
I have to admit the area did not look like it fell into this condition recently.
Posted Mon, Feb 2, 11:17 a.m. Inappropriate
Well, Ted,
I'm not "sloughing off" those small towns. My point is that they have weathered booms and busts before, and are capable of doing that again. When a chain hardware store moved in, people drove past mom and pop's to save 51 cents on a piano hinge. Now, that chain store has 100% of the busuness in town, but closes up because nobody in big cities wants to add a deck on a house they might not own this summer.
In a short amount of time, after a large percentage of the big city's population shuts out the lights and moves to those small towns, mom and pop call up their old suppliers who used to sell to them, and hethey put a lumber and hardware store down where the chain store used to be.
Pity that those people who move out of here are the very people who have the talent and skills that Seattle needs to survive the coming economic collapse. The fact that Seattle hits hard times will make headlines in small towns. The fact that small towns hit hard times and soon will be flourishing with the influx of skilled people may make an obscure blog somewhere.
Posted Wed, Feb 4, 2:19 p.m. Inappropriate
What hermetically sealed bubble do you live in, Spud? Those small towns have not "weathered" the booms and busts. With each bust they have withered and shriveled just a little bit more. I graduated from Benson Union High School (AZ) in 1948. In 2008, I traveled somewhat the same route Ted described - on back roads (some unpaved) from Sonoita, AZ, to Seattle and back, through Utah, Nevada, California and Oregon. I now live in an "upscale" unincorporated enclave in southern Arizona. In good times, houses here stay on the market two to three years. Now they simply are not selling at all. I can tell you from personal experience that the small towns are dying, kept alive (barely) by wealthy retirees who are for the most part patronizingly unaware of the social and economic realities faced by their longer-term neighbors. The towns and countrysides are now inhabited mostly by people eking out a living as ranch laborers or herbal remedy salespeople - or as is more commonly the case, living on welfare or disability incomes. Of course, some small towns have been subsumed into the gigantic boom-town (now bust-town) known as the Valley of the Sun, but outside those hallowed precincts, Arizona is pretty destitute. Come live in one of these small towns for awhile - try Coolidge, Patagonia or Valley Farms for instance. Benson is now a bedroom for Tucson, but still not thriving. The median income in Nogales, AZ, is just over $22,000. I don't call that weathering the storm. I call that subsistence, if that.