McGinn's tunnel cave
Some Seattle voters seem proud to announce to you that they've already voted, like smug students who turned in their homework assignment early for extra credit. In an election like this, I don't see why an early vote has any upside: There's a long way to go before election day with Mike McGinn and Joe Mallahan running for mayor. The next two weeks could be a political eternity.
Case in point: McGinn's long-anticipated pivot on the Viaduct tunnel. Political watchers have expected, and some McGinn supporters encouraged, a softening of his tunnel stance. Tunnel-hater McGinn started out with "an over-my-dead body" message on the tunnel, and in fact built his campaign identity on that. When Crosscut met with McGinn after the primary, he indicated that if the people of Seattle insisted on a tunnel, say by voting for it again, he'd go along. Now, with the City Council's vote, he's moved even further: He won't sabotage what he thinks is a terrible idea, but will continue to "ask tough questions" about it. In other words, in a John Kerry-like moment, McGinn was against the tunnel before he was, begrudgingly, for it.
This undercuts one of McGinn's primary arguments against the tunnel, which is that city voters already held a referendum on it and voted against it. This has always been arguable, but now McGinn is essentially saying that the voter mandate (which he believes in) has been overturned by the council vote, and that he will accept that outcome. Is McGinn admitting that a central premise of the centerpiece of his campaign was wrong? Is his wriggle on the tunnel an admission that, in fact, more voters want a tunnel than not? Is a visionary one who has misread his city?
The upside of the switch for McGinn is that it might win him votes, and observers (like the pro-McGinn folks at Publicola) think he looked at his polling numbers and realized he had less to lose by flip-flopping than by sticking to his guns. And it's true that McGinn was leaving a lot of votes on the table with his tunnel opposition. McGinn supporters can spin this that their candidate is a pragmatist, not an obstructionist, and that his positions are more nuanced than they appear, his understanding of the job more realistic.
But it's worrisome that McGinn has been shedding core positions that have been cornerstones of his campaign: Tunnel opposition was one, taking over Seattle schools was another.
In his campaign announcement, McGinn emphasized making Seattle schools a priority, and there's much a mayor can and should do to help make that happen. But McGinn later went further suggesting the city could take over the schools, then that if they did not improve within two years, it would be time for a "governance change." In his Chamber of Commerce debate with Joe Mallahan, he chided Mallahan for not being eager to expand the mayor's portfolio to include the school district.
But the effect of McGinn's stance was that one, he didn't seem to realize that there were significant changes already underway at the school district, with a new regime and revamped board. This infuriated some folks deeply involved in improving the Seattle school system. The time marker he put down didn't make sense, plus two, his bluster made him look naive and power-hungry. Supporting schools is one thing, running them is another. McGinn seems to have softened, then dropped a schools takeover from his talking points.
If Mike McGinn is a conviction candidate — as contrasted with Mallahan, who seems to be an avatar (or is it shill?) of Seattle's power establishment — he's undercutting his main strength, which is to take bold, challenging stands against the conventional wisdom. You can say this is smart politics, and I suppose it would be if he were running as a conventional politician, but everything about his campaign's appeal — the low budget, the accessibility of the candidate, the insurgent tactics, even the beard — have pointed in a different direction. Are we going to discover that McGinn is now just a more rumpled, perhaps more articulate but also more lawyerly version of Joe Mallahan?
One reason not to decide yet in this election is that these two mayoral candidates are still telling us fundamental things about themselves, what they believe and how they do politics. For undecideds like me, there's nothing to lose by waiting a little longer before I mark my ballot.









Comments:
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 1:10 p.m. inappropriate
Knute: My perspective on McGinn's changing position on the bored tunnel is that before he was aggressively against the tunnel, and now he is passive aggressively against the tunnel. Culturally you could say that he has moved from his aggressive New York native roots to the passive aggressive traditions of his adopted Pacific Northwest. Having said that I'm not sure which is worse, and what worries me most is that he hasn't accepted that the proposed project is actually a progressive tunnel + transit solution that has already incorporated many of the things he claims to hold near and dear. Until I hear him say that he is committed to bring this project through to fruition I will remain very skeptical of his abilities to lead this city. At the very least he should say that he will focus on the yet to be completed transit funding side of the project, and that this will be his positive contribution to the process. Miracles happen, but I doubt that an ideologue like McGinn is capable of becoming a pragmatist.
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 1:36 p.m. inappropriate
Unter: You make a great point. Is Seattle better off with a mayor who believes in the tunnel (Mallahan) or a guy who says he'll implement something he doesn't believe in (McGinn)? What's changed here is McGinn's vow to "stop" the tunnel, but it may be that he's convinced it will collapse under its own financial weight. So the choice is between a candidate who has not asked serious, important questions about the project and promises dubiously that he can bring it in on budget (Mallahan) or a guy who says he'll move ahead, but will both rightly demand important fiscal and technical answers, yet will also be open to being accused of being a "passive aggressive" saboteur of the project.
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 1:46 p.m. inappropriate
This is the first time in years I'm not voting early.
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 1:57 p.m. inappropriate
It was impossible to soften (move closer to Mallahan) a month ago while McGinn's campaign was belittling Mallahan's policy positions (even predicting them).
It is interesting that the points Mallahan opposed McGinn on during debate, the tunnel and schools, are viewed in the media as McGinn "softening" his position, rather than Mallahan being right to begin with.
Was Mallahan's position a correct read of the situation from the start? Yes, but that is not the media narrative. It is McGinn finally becoming less wrong.
The bias has been toward the right guy, for the wrong reasons, not seeing that he might be the wrong person. Just look at all of the headlines today, McGinn backs off. That could just as well have been about Mallahan being right about this, rather than McGinn shifting to a less wrong position (reading of the situation).
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 4:37 p.m. inappropriate
As an ardent tunnel opponent (for numerous reasons that have already been stated many times before), I am extremely disappointed by McGinn's about-face on this issue. It seems like everyone--the stakeholders, Gregoire, and now even Mike McGinn--seem to cave before the clout of Seattle's business & labor establishment. And the fact that the voters themselves don't seem to cave on this issue makes absolutely no difference to any of them (causing some of us to wonder whether the skyline we're peering at is really Seattle's--or Tehran's). If I were to mark my ballot right now, I'd write in Elizabeth Campbell for Mayor (Did I spell her name correctly?). She may not have a prayer, but at least she has consistency. But I'm going to heed Knute's advice and hang onto my ballot for awhile. I suspect that in an election as volatile as this one, additional shoes may be heard dropping.
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 6:32 p.m. inappropriate
"But it's worrisome that McGinn has been shedding core positions that have been cornerstones of his campaign"
No. What's worrisome is a stubborn leader that plows ahead blindly even though the facts and fate no longer support his position. "Flip flop" is a term coined by Karl Rove to smear anyone who doesn't exhibit the stupid, cocksure, black and white thinking of the Bush administration. Instead of parroting this stupid Rovian phrase, why not call it what it is - "accepting reality".
The mayoral election was essentially going to be a vote on the tunnel, and the tunnel was going to win. McGinn recognizes that it is going to be built with or without him as mayor. He accepted the facts, and is now moving on. That's what smart people do.
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 8:53 p.m. inappropriate
Has he had a press conference on his backing off the "take over the schools" position, or did he just stop talking about it?
When asked point blank yesterday if the overrun clause will be enforceable. McGinn sidestepped that and just said that "it is the current law".
That situational honesty is worrisome. I do not really want him lawyering me for 4 years. He knew exactly what the question was, he chose to answer a different question that he is lobbying the voters with.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BLHrmvYTgwI&feature;=youtube_gdata
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 9:53 p.m. inappropriate
This is the first time in years that I voted early.
Like, you know, a smug student who turns his homework in a few days before it's due. Extra credit?? What's THAT!!??
Changing metaphors here a bit: I paddled out and waited to catch the McGinn wave, but, darn it, that just didn't hold much promise for an exhilerating ride, so I let it go and waited for the Mallahan Pineapple Express. Guess what? The Mallahan wave isn't very exciting, either, but it will get me to shore--and my intuition told me that somehow McGinn and Nickels are sons of different mothers:
Both kinda sanctimonious, both kinda like smug students who turn their homework in a few days before it's due and expect extra credit.
Extra credit?? What's THAT??!!
Posted Tue, Oct 20, 11:14 p.m. inappropriate
The Deep-bore tunnel is neither the best tunnel option nor the 'ideal' replacement for the AWV. The best tunnel option is WsDOT's Scenario 'G' 4-lane Cut-n-cover, designed after the March 2007 voter rejection presumably to reduce construction disruption, and best because it maintains critically important Elliott/Western access. The ideal solution is indeed the Surface/I-5/Transit option because it takes into account the insane amount of traffic Seattle assumes is sustainable, effectively mandates transit alternatives, improves I-5 and leads to land-use changes based on less cross-county travel and transport.
I favor Scenario 'G' 4-lane Cut-n-cover because the 'ideal' should not be the enemy of the practical. McGinn's position on the Deep-bore admirably maintains its integrity. He's a winner.
Posted Wed, Oct 21, 9:58 a.m. inappropriate
McGinn has taken both sides of the issue.