In addition to some of the best sledding in years at Gasworks Park, the Big Snow of 2012 brought home the precariousness and imminent obsolescence of three things I’ve taken for granted for much of my life.
Early Monday, in the icy lull between the weekend snow and its more potent follow-up, I noticed that The Seattle Times had not yet arrived at the neighborhood coffee shop though it was nigh on 6 a.m. I checked the local headlines on my laptop as I always do, and then watched as the dark blue newspaper van jockeyed into a slippery parking spot in front of the shop and a man hefted two bundles of paper through the front door. A few days later on snowy Wednesday, my mother-in-law (who doesn’t own a laptop and still actually reads the paper paper) reported that her home delivery Seattle Times had never showed up.
Just after dinner Wednesday evening, when the bulk of the heavy snow had fallen in my neighborhood, we still had two DVDs we’d rented Sunday night Chronicles of Narnia, already watched by the kids; and Midnight in Paris, still in its box, unwatched) that were due back at the video store a few miles away at 7 p.m. I called to ask if they’d be lax on late charges because of the weather, but all I got was a recorded message saying that they’d closed early on account of the snow. So, when it was quiet later, we watched Midnight in Paris on my laptop. It was an unexpected bonus!
Late Thursday morning, as more snow had begun to fall again, I looked out the window for the second or third time and finally saw the unfamiliar footprints on the porch that I’d been waiting for. I checked the mailbox and found a catalog for some company I now can’t remember, along with an important tax document.
It’s nothing new to predict the demise of the print newspaper, the neighborhood video store, and even the United States Postal Service. But something about the timing of this particular snowstorm made it glaringly obvious how all of these institutions are likely to undergo radical shifts if not completely disappear much faster than I’d ever imagined.
I already get all my print news online and watch something like 80 percent of my movies online (the newest and the best movies are never on Netflix when you want them, it seems). And I love the Postal Service and still get excited when used books and greeting cards arrive by mail, but nearly everything else is sent back and forth or transacted online, large items are usually shipped by private carrier, and that tax document could have been emailed as a PDF. I don’t need any more catalogs by mail, thank you.
The unknown factor is how long people of my mother-in-law’s generation will represent a market that’s large enough to support print newspapers and rent-in-person DVDs, and whether or not a business model can develop to support everything going online. The Postal Service, as a government agency, has its own unique set of defenders and detractors outside of the market economy that makes its lifespan even harder to predict, but it’s surely destined for major restructuring.
As the snow melts away this time, the familiar muted January Seattle landscape will look the same. But the truth is, a lot has changed.
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Comments:
Posted Sat, Jan 21, 5:28 p.m. Inappropriate
You failed to mention the most important thing that is becoming obsolete: commuting to and from work.
Telecommuting -- working from home -- will become almost as common as shopping, banking, and paying bills online.
Why try to slog throught inclement weather when you can just stay home and work from there?
The billions and billions of tax dollars we are wasting on stupidly expensive transit systems that will soon be obsolete are the ultimate government boondoggle.
Posted Sat, Jan 21, 7:53 p.m. Inappropriate
Try building a Lincoln via telecommuting.
Posted Sun, Jan 22, 10:13 a.m. Inappropriate
@Lincoln--good point re telecommuting (for those who can). It's so much easier than it was even five years ago thanks to wifi and remote server access. I also think social media has changed how we react to extreme weather and who we blame for it--the 2008 snowstorm that many cite as a reason for Greg Nickels' defeat was the first of the social media era. In no previous storm in Seattle had it been possible to simultaneously know how many neighborhoods were snowed in and how many streets remained insufficiently plowed as the hours and days wore on. In 2008, it was all over Facebook and YouTube, and anyone could watch the clips and look at the photos over and over again. In the pre-social media blizzards (snow blizzards AND media blizzards), there were only so many snowy spots where anorak-clad Jim Forman could do a liveshot, and only one at a time. I had to think for a moment to remember who was mayor during the '96 and '90 storms (Norm Rice) and the '85 storm (Charlie Royer). I don't think either of those guys took heat back then, and it certainly wasn't a factor in any subsequent election.
Posted Sun, Jan 22, 4:51 p.m. Inappropriate
The aftermath of the most widespread power outage in recent memory seems an odd time to point out the failures of printed media -- and the ultimate usefulness of electronics. Chances are all those folks sitting in the dark for a couple days were grateful for the redundancy.
Posted Mon, Jan 23, 12:03 a.m. Inappropriate
Funny, I know a lot of men and women in their 20s and 30s who read the newspaper, love to go to video and book stores, and enjoy all sorts of commercial and personal interactions which have nothing whatsoever to do with anything on line. It's possible I don't run with as sophisticated a crowd as does Mr. Banel, but I have a strong hunch we'll be seeing quite a bit of what he imagines to be "obsolete" technology for some time to come. On an separate subject...Mr. Banel's "This Just Now" programs for KUOW are some of the best and most interesting stuff available on line or over the air (take your pick...I prefer to listen to the radio!).
Posted Mon, Jan 23, 8:33 a.m. Inappropriate
If physical media disappears, how will the library system distribute electronic media? I love checking out DVDs from the library, for free. And now that my neighborhood Blockbuster store has closed, the Public library is the only option available to get access to some material short of paying $3 per episode to download and watch old TV shows. PS - my Seattle Times arrived on my doorstep at the same time every morning through the bad weather. Either you need a new delivery person, or my person deserves a big tip, or both.
Posted Mon, Jan 23, 9:36 a.m. Inappropriate
I had much the same thoughts several months ago when my 80-year-old mother in Connecticut called to tell me about Hurricane Irene. As she was describing an article in the Hartford Courant (we were on the land line), I pulled up said article on my cell phone. Yes, I said to her, looking at the images, the damage is amazing. She promised to send me the clipping. I got it, I said, but she insisted. Four days later, the clipping showed up. But it wasn't the four-day lag that struck me. It was the fundamental difference between, on the one hand, calling up the story on my phone, and, on the other hand, the story being printed on newsprint in Connecticut and delivered by truck to my mother, who then cut out the newsprint and put it in an envelope which was then lugged to the local post office by foot and truck, put on a plane, flown to Settle, put on a truck and delivered to my door by foot. I do so love receiving mail from my mother--I'm serious--but as a paradigm of long-distance communication, it's beyond inefficient, it's absurd.
Posted Mon, Jan 23, 1:41 p.m. Inappropriate
I see the point a number of writers are making. HOWEVER, all these marvels of electronic communications are still very vulnerable to power and cell tower outages. The point some people miss is that some jobs can ONLY be done facr to face. The tangibleness of cards and letters can never be replaced by a screen image. As humans we are sensory beings--sight, sound, touch, smell, taste, and skin-to-skin contact. And--there is STILL a place for the manual typewriter with its ink ribbons--when the power goes out and all the computers and printers lose their charge!
Posted Tue, Jan 24, 11:39 a.m. Inappropriate
@rjudd--forgive my urban perspective, but I've only lost electrical power once or twice since 1995 in my Seattle neighborhood, and only for minutes at a time.
@TaylorB1--I'm no sophisticate, and I still love book stores and do get the print Sunday NYT (which, on occasion, sits swaddled in its blue plastic rain sleeve long past Sunday morning). For some reason, video stores have never had the romance or possibility for me that bookstores (particularly USED bookstores) have ALWAYS had (I still fondly recall the musty old Shorey's down on First or Second back in the 1970s). But, I've also found so many otherwise unfindable used titles online that would likely have taken decades to hunt down in person. This piece was more about noticing the obsolescence rather than loving or hating it! Thanks also for the kind words about "This NOT Just In"!
@jaquesrwhite--not sure what to say, but the SPL already circulates ebooks. Maybe music and film are next (or maybe they already do?).
@KathryntheGreat--I concur re the pricelessness of face-to-face and the visual/tactile/olfactory joy in paper, skin, manual typewriter keys, ink, etc. I may not feel like driving to the video store, but no snowstorm (or any extreme weather, for that matter) would keep me from being with the ones I love.
Posted Sun, Feb 5, 8:16 p.m. Inappropriate
Sea Wolf, do you realize that all those steps you mentioned that were necessary for your mother to mail you that clipping involved actual JOBS? You know, people being employed?