Dueling mayoral polls
at 4:08pm by Joe Copeland
A new KIRO 7 poll shows a tight 4-point race for mayor of Seattle, with Ed Murray ahead of Mike McGinn 33 to 29 percent — and 38 percent of surveyed voters undecided. But in another new poll, conducted independently by Strategies 360, a Seattle-based public and government relations firm, Murray retains the kind of large lead (17 points in this case) seen in other surveys, leading McGinn 51 to 34 percent. The new Strategies 360 poll was conducted last week, Oct. 14-16, making it the most recent. In an email this morning, Murray’s campaign criticized the KIRO poll, saying it doesn’t consider the difference between registered and likely voters and is based on old survey data. KIRO, which said that Boston's Bernette Research conducted the poll between Oct. 7 and Oct. 10, declined to comment on the Murray camp’s criticism.We looked back at the 2009 election (PubliCola did, too) and found that a KING 5/SurveyUSA poll in mid-October had Joe Mallahan leading McGinn 43 to 36 percent. McGinn won 51 to 47 percent. A cursory Internet search didn’t produce any late-race polls from the 2005 mayoral contest, in which Greg Nickels trounced Al Runte, taking home 65 percent of the vote. A deeper trip down mayoral memory lane turns up an Oct. 23, 2001 KING poll with a statistical tie between Nickels and Mark Sidran. That poll seemed spot-on. Nickels eked out a November victory by just 3,158 votes. — B.L.