Hitting close to home on affordability

You can blame many factors for the high cost of housing in Seattle, from growth management to infrastructure expansion. But we often overlook another reason: personal taste.

How we choose to live. This is Federal Way, Wash. (Chuck Taylor)

How we choose to live. This is Federal Way, Wash. (Chuck Taylor)

A new study reported last week suggested that the state Growth Management Act has played a significant role in adding to the cost of local housing, perhaps adding as much as $200,000 to the median home cost since 1989. I have little doubt that the GMA has been responsible for some cost increase – it does, after all, ration developable land. Nevertheless, it would be wrong to blame the GMA for the lack of affordability. For one thing, the market and consumer tastes have a lot to do with the problem.

Part of the demand side of the equation is, of course, growth: more people. But what is it that those people want? They want bigger houses, bigger condos, and bigger apartments. It's tough to meet density goals when the number of people per home is shrinking and the size of the homes is increasing. It means more and more people are eating up more space – and space costs more. This is a national phenomenon.

I was looking over a 2007 report, Housing Facts, Figures and Trends, from the National Association of Home Builders (a downloadable copy is here) and the trends are stunning. Builders respond to market demand. What is it people want?

In 1970, the average new single-family home was 1,500 square feet; in 2005, the figure swelled to 2,434 square feet – an increase of over 900 square feet.

In 1970, 36 percent of new homes were under 1,200 square feet; by 2005, only 4 percent were. In 1970, only 10 percent of homes were over 2,400 sq. feet; in 2005, 42 percent were.

The first Earth Day (conceived at a conference in Seattle) was in 1970, and it strikes me as interesting that just as the country began to become more widely and publicly eco-conscious, we also became more greedy about our personal space.

American homes are bigger, taller, and with more amenities than the houses of old. The result: a large increase in the number of new two-story-plus homes (17 percent in 1970 vs. 55 percent in 2005), the number of bedrooms (four bedroom homes grew from 24 percent in 1970 to 39 percent in 2005), the number with 2-1/2 baths on the market has doubled, and the number of homes with two-car garages has increased from 39 percent to 64 percent – with an additional 20 percent of new homes sporting three-car garages. Size has mattered, too, in new multi-family housing, where the number of units over 1,200 square feet has doubled since 1990, from 20 percent to 43 percent.

America could be scaling expectations to bring about a lower-cost reality. We have not. But don't blame it all on the sprawling suburbs. You can see this upsizing in Seattle neighborhoods where bungalows are being remodeled and renovated by new buyers. Often, you'll see buyers take a small, 1,000-square-foot home, expand it, add granite countertops and a professional chef kitchen, add a deck, a bunch of bathrooms and walk-in closets, and flip it for high-end resale. A perfectly habitable small home that cost cost $500,000 has now been upgraded with completely optional lifestyle amenities, and the price more than doubled.

This creates a kind of in-city sprawl where single family homes become preserves of the wealthy, who can buy their way out of density and indulge their tastes for more space and extras. The inflation of price has a lot to do with optional amenities. That has an impact on affordability and does little if anything to benefit the environment. In fact, many times it hurts because backyard green corridors and trees are often removed for that add-on sun room.

Another issue is the economic profile of the people who live here now. Part of the run-up in home prices has to be well-paying job generators like Microsoft and other tech enterprises that have produced so much instant wealth.

In the early 1980s, I worked on a $30 million capital campaign for a local research center. Our crack fundraising research staff put together a list of everyone in greater Seattle capable of making a $1 million donation. That list fit on one, typewritten sheet of paper. Last year, a London-based market research firm, TNS, reported that King County alone had 68,390 millionaire households. Comparing the two is a bit of apples and oranges – I know a million dollars isn't what it used to be – but a list of millionaires of the caliber we were looking for in 1982 would today likely make up an extensive database. The affluence boom has helped push median home prices far beyond the ability of median income earners to buy them.

Environmental protection has costs, but so does growth. We may be paying a premium for our homes because of the GMA, but we are also paying higher taxes for transportation, new schools, law enforcement, and a myriad of other things that expand along with the population. There are few things we individuals have control over in this complex system, but one is that we can each cultivate a lifestyle that fits with the times and consumes less space. Instead of continuing to upsize our expectations, we should be looking to live more modestly and less conspicuously.

Changing the market dynamics begins at home, where taste and preference can make a difference.


About the Author

Knute Berger is Mossback, Crosscut's chief Northwest native. He also writes the monthly Grey Matters column for Seattle magazine and is a weekly Friday guest on Weekday on KUOW-FM (94.9). His newest book is Pugetopolis: A Mossback Takes On Growth Addicts, Weather Wimps, and the Myth of Seattle Nice, published by Sasquatch Books. In 2011, he was named Writer-in-Residence at the Space Needle and is author of Space Needle, The Spirit of Seattle (2012), the official 50th anniversary history of the tower. You can e-mail him at mossback@crosscut.com.

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Comments:

Posted Wed, Feb 20, 7:48 a.m. Inappropriate

Thank you: for injecting a little sanity into this debate.

Posted Wed, Feb 20, 8:32 a.m. Inappropriate

Yes. More sanity... and simple basics...: The $200,000 cost of legal claim is dubious. It does not take a Phd to realize most raw, buildable land within the city limits has now been built upon. $200,000 reflects the cost to purchase and tear down or renovate older smaller homes... Greed adds to the cost.

20 years ago, in my little north end neighborhood, most were 3 bedroom, one bathroom, post wwII bugalows with unfinished basements, built on larger lots. In the nine blocks surrounding our 1948 bungalow, My spouse and I have watched older folks move and sell out, and the new buyer either remodels to build bigger (5 have done so in our little 9 block area), turning their $350,000 to $400,000 investment into the $500,000 to 700,000 renoveated new home.
Some then sell, others stay.

But more often, the new buyer levels the 1,000 squarefoot on the 5,000 squre foot lot and puts up TWO larger homes. Narrow or McMansion, depending on the plot, if anything, the zoning code ALLOWS them to build. Then they offer up NEW construction withing a 10 minute commute to the UW or 20 to downtown... and get between $500,000 to $900,000 for these poorly laid out monsters. THERE is where you add $200,000 -- two bedrooms and two more bathrooms than the previous abode. Double the square footage. Double the height. Designer appliances. Washer and Dryer upstairs with walk in closets vs the old 3 ft wide space. Tricked out tripple wired for audio, internet and cable. ALarm systems and air filteration systems. Insulated windows, waterheater on demand, and radiant heated floors in the bathroom with the Jaccuzi tub.

THESE are NOT legislated... These are MARKETED cost increases over the previous abode.

The effect is to raise the values and property taxes of us all. The new mcMansion going in two houses over looms over the house across from us by more than double. The house that was there was the twin to ours. Selling price: the Low $800,000's... The neighbor next to the house across the street from us sold her house after her husband passed away. That home was built int he 70's, and was twice the size of ours... 5 bedroom, two bath. The new owners promptly tore it down and built TWO McMansions, sold both for 790,000 each. The new homes have no lot... no yard, and are twice the height of the corner home.

There was NO Legislated cost increase to ANY of these. It was sheer greed, and location, location, location. It is the reason spouse and I bought our bungalow (basement STILL unfinished). Bottom Line: Blaming zoning codes fo this is like blaming the Seat belt reqirement for raising the cost of a new Lexus to my old Subaru. There is a LOT of other reasons one costs more... Greed and upscaling has far more to do with it than zoning codes that make it all worth living here.

Control for the out of control ultimate ubber house, THEN tell me what legislation costs. Otherwise, the real story seems far more obvious. I wonder if I could get some grant money...

Posted Wed, Feb 20, 9:08 a.m. Inappropriate

good: Good points by all.

While affordability is a real issue for many people, for many others it's not about affordability per se, but about whether they can afford their wildly expanded expectations.

Many people on the edge of the abyss could easily solve their problems. A family of four can live in a two-bedroom apartment near bus routes. That could mean only one car (or none), no maintenence costs, and rent in the $9,000-$1,500 range, with the high end being a pretty nice place.

Speaking as a contractor, it's also true that much of the cost of anything in Seattle is our lengthy, intensive, and uncertainty-filled entitlement process.
mhays

Posted Wed, Feb 20, 9:09 a.m. Inappropriate

RE: good: On second thought, $900 is more common than $9,000.

mhays

Posted Wed, Feb 20, 4:31 p.m. Inappropriate

The economics of $200K+ lots: I agree that there are lots of good reasons for growth management and costs associated with not having it. However expensive land prices leads to larger home prices in a way that may dictate personal tastes. My wife and I owned a lot in King County worth $250K and thought about developing it by building a small house. After a bit of research we realized quickly we'd could only profit if we built something in the 3000sf to 4000sf range. The problem is that with the fixed costs of land, utility hookups, impact fees, permits, etc already so high the actual cost of adding square fee is relatively cheap. Thus there is some logic to the love of larger homes.

There is also the problem of mortgage interest being tax deductible. The bigger the loan, the bigger the deduction.

One solution be to tax by the square feet or as a friend of mine proposes to surtax anything that is more than 750sf per occupant. With so many economic forces pushing towards bigger homes it may take something radical like this to bring back reasonable scaled housing.
Ariev

Posted Thu, Feb 21, 12:16 a.m. Inappropriate

housing: I too live in a north Seattle neighborhood built up in 1949-50. Several years ago, on "Neighbors Night Out" at our block party, several of the younger couples were talking about how they would like to add on, build up, etc., as they needed more room. Finally I said, "You know, when these houses were built, the families who first lived in them often had several children, but somehow they managed."

One of the women said, "I've thought about that. I finally decided that the difference is that we have so much more stuff than our parents. We need more room for all our stuff."

Posted Thu, Feb 21, 9:24 a.m. Inappropriate

partial growth results in imbalance: Unconscious chaos seems to accompany radical changes, we've done a pretty unconscious job of reponding to the changes in population in our fair city. we respond much easier to the things we think add to our life (though not everyone cheers at the advent of HDTV), It's time for all of us to grow in learning to share the small blue ball. Two people in five bedroom, 2 1/ 2 bathrooms waiting for their 1.2 children to drop by does not fit our current reality.
I'm not clear it is greed as much as it is unconsciousness. As with most things - education plays a crucial role.
Jeanp246

Posted Thu, Feb 21, 9:24 a.m. Inappropriate

partial growth results in imbalance: Unconscious chaos seems to accompany radical changes, we've done a pretty unconscious job of reponding to the changes in population in our fair city. we respond much easier to the things we think add to our life (though not everyone cheers at the advent of HDTV), It's time for all of us to grow in learning to share the small blue ball. Two people in five bedroom, 2 1/ 2 bathrooms waiting for their 1.2 children to drop by does not fit our current reality.
I'm not clear it is greed as much as it is unconsciousness. As with most things - education plays a crucial role.
Jeanp246

Posted Thu, Feb 21, 10:36 a.m. Inappropriate

RE: housing: They got that stuff at big box retail stores. According to this link, the US went from 5 square feet of retail space per capita in 1970 to over 20 today.

http://www.energydesignresources.com/docs/end-38.pdf

So for every suburban housing development, come the requisite strip malls, big boxes, parking lots and roads.

All this retail competes for housing, driving up land costs. But you can buy damn near anything you want.

Except in the Rainier Valley, where there is no general mercantile since Chubby and Tubby's closed. But we have a couple of new teriyaki and pho places. Yahoo.

Posted Thu, Feb 21, 11:29 a.m. Inappropriate

The Plethora of Choices are Choking Us...: We live in a 1950's "modernist" rambler. Many of these homes, beloved in southern California and Arizona for their design, are disappearing in Washington because of all the reasons stated above about desiring more space...

The availability of so many THINGS that we can buy cheaply at Wal-Mart and Target are not only adding to the trade imbalance, but choking us out of our homes.

We think we need to add rooms to keep up with the neighbors, or give us more space so that we can buy fancy containers for our junk and plan more closet space. Our parents raised more children than we are in the same square footage, and it didn't seem like a huge problem.

The increasing lack of "entry-level" prices on homes in this region for young couples with children and older folks who want one story (no stairs) is exacerbated by all of these remodels and upgrades.

Posted Fri, Feb 22, 10:15 a.m. Inappropriate

One other thought...: To be clear, I am not upset with folks like those above who had two lots, and looked at the fixed costs of permits, and say why not build larger. I would have done the same. I, too, have experienced the bi-polar feelings of being a small homeowner who wishes for larger spaces... (especially one additional bathroom). It was interesting to bring to the conversation the more stuff aspect, and the more retail aspect.

That said, the additional thought was when the original post WWII bungalows were built, they were built ALSO to respond to a market... A shortage of affordable family homes. Ironicly, one arguement for larger yards and smaller homes was to allow for kids to play outside, and for mom and dad to continue to raise their post victory victory garden, and to have room to hang out laundry (as dryers were expensive!). The concept, expecially in Seattle, was LOTS of area parks as well for open spaces... They did indeed raise larger families in smaller quarters, but you spent less time at home. Movies were seen in a theatre. Play occoured on the playground. You went to the Library rather than surfed WIKIpedia at home for homework. You mingled, bowled, got a sunday at the drugstore, went swiming at the local pool.

Now we build the behemoth for one child and a pair of parents, with extra rooms for TV (gosh forbid it be in the LIVING ROOM), Telecomute / Home Office (because the breakfast nook and dining room should only be used for food service - especially ironic since we eat out many more times than the previous generation), and NOT to be confused with Home Theatre Room, Den, and large storage area. Rarely, but sometimes, we even build guest bedrooms and kitchenettes...

As we take away green space, and increase density, the parks remain the same size, and the things we used to do together (bowling, movies, dance halls) become things we do solo in our own homes. Yet another side product of monster homes (Read the book, "Bowling Alone") and increasing values make it far too expensive to use space for Bowling and Theaters (it is part of the reason we have just 5 bowling alleys left in Seattle, and only a half dozen large house single screen theaters and most of the remaining are multi use... like the Paramount). (folks here may recall the old Northgate Theater which seated almost a thousand, or the old John Danz in Bellevue that seated 1100... )

So monster homes, subdivided properties add to the tax base, but increase dependence on parks, and reduce involvement in community. All because I want a second bathroom.

I still fail to see a 200,000 impact from legislation. But I DO see market forces and builders and developers responsding to them.

Posted Fri, Feb 22, 1:18 p.m. Inappropriate

Knute is right: National Association of Home Builders is big developer driven and they naturally dislike GMA because it limits the amount of developable land.

We live in a narrow piece of land sandwiched between water and mountains - we cannot sprawl like other cities. This has become a very wealthy city and as Knute points out, that really drives up prices. It is a desirable place to live - Seattle is no longer in a sleepy corner of the US - it is recognized as a major economic center.

Its hard to know where the chicken and egg game begins. Do people want more house because bigger houses are being built or because they just want huge heating bills? Part of it, is with the consolidation of the small banks and the packaging of mortgages in the 80's, we lost the diversity of small banks that would finance smaller developers and have more flexible standards for size. Now therre is a template for banks of what sells so they will only finance big homes meeting certain national size criteria.

Posted Fri, Feb 22, 1:31 p.m. Inappropriate

Single most important word: "sufficient.": The single most important lesson I wish to impart to my beloved son is this: to understand, honor, embrace, and celebrate the word "sufficient."

That is the peer pressure I wish to get started! Embracing and celebrating "sufficiency" is the first step toward so much of what the world and its people need!

"I have sufficient:" so I do not buy keep buying in a way that creates an artificial "need" for a bigger home to store more "stuff."

"I have sufficient," so I do not cause the Earth's resources to be wasted on things I don't need and don't want.

"I have sufficient," so I do not keep looking for the higher paying job. The cycle of escalating compensation for "the few" keeps "the many" underpaid and unemployed.

"I have sufficient," so I am not "owned" by my home and possessions. The more "things" I own, and the more home I own, the more these possessions own me because of the amount of time I have to spend serving them by taking care of them!

Be the change you want to see in the world!

I am appalled at the obscene gulf between "haves" and "have-nots."
I am appalled at the world's resources being gobbled up to make goods we really don't need.
I am appalled that the small percentage of population that lives in this country accounts for using up breathtakingly disproportionate amounts of the world's resources.
I am appalled that the small percentage of world population that lives in this country accounts for a breathtakingly disproportionate amount of the trash and other waste created every day.

As large as these problems are, I can do something to change them. I can be the change I want to see in the world. I can say "I have sufficient," and I can teach this to my beloved son and every other young person it is my privilege to meet. Sufficient. The most important word.

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